文章基本信息

标题：Reconstruction of the dynamics of the climatic system from time-series data
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作者：C. Nicolis ; G. Nicolis
期刊名称：Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
印刷版ISSN：0027-8424
电子版ISSN：1091-6490
出版年度：1986
卷号：83
期号：3
页码：536-540
DOI：10.1073/pnas.83.3.536
语种：English
出版社：The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
摘要：The oxygen isotope record of the last million years, as provided by a deep sea core sediment, is analyzed by a method recently developed in the theory of dynamical systems. The analysis suggests that climatic variability is the manifestation of a chaotic dynamics described by an attractor of fractal dimensionality. A quantitative measure of the limited predictability of the climatic system is provided by the evaluation of the time-correlation function and the largest positive Lyapounov exponent of the system.
关键词：climatic variability ; quaternary glaciations ; chaotic dynamics