摘要:It has been proposed that growing crop varieties with higher canopy albedo would lower
summer-time temperatures over North America and Eurasia and provide a partial
mitigation of global warming ('bio-geoengineering') (Ridgwell et al 2009 Curr. Biol.19 1–5).
Here, we use a coupled ocean–atmosphere–vegetation model (HadCM3) with prescribed
agricultural regions, to investigate to what extent the regional effectiveness of crop albedo
bio-geoengineering might be influenced by a progressively warming climate as well as
assessing the impacts on regional hydrological cycling and primary productivity. Consistent
with previous analysis, we find that the averted warming due to increasing crop canopy
albedo by 0.04 is regionally and seasonally specific, with the largest cooling of
~1 °C for Europe in summer whereas in the low latitude monsoonal SE Asian regions of high
density cropland, the greatest cooling is experienced in winter. In this study we identify
potentially important positive impacts of increasing crop canopy albedo on soil
moisture and primary productivity in European cropland regions, due to seasonal
increases in precipitation. We also find that the background climate state has an
important influence on the predicted regional effectiveness of bio-geoengineering on
societally-relevant timescales (ca 100 years). The degree of natural climate variability and
its dependence on greenhouse forcing that are evident in our simulations highlights
the difficulties faced in the detection and verification of climate mitigation in
geoengineering schemes. However, despite the small global impact, regionally
focused schemes such as crop albedo bio-geoengineering have detection advantages.