摘要:In this paper we first present supporting evidence of the existence of het-
erogeneity in inflation dynamics across euro area countries. Based on the es-
timation of New Phillips Curves for five major countries of the euro area, we
find that there is significant inertial (backward looking) behavior in inflation
in four of them, while inflationinGermanyhasadominant forward looking
component. In the second part of the paper we present an optimizing agent
model for the euro area emphasizing the heterogeneity in inflation persistence
across regions. Allowing for such a backward looking component will affect the
evaluation of the degree of nominal rigidities relevant for the monetary policy
design. We explore the welfare implications of this circumstance by compar-
ing the adjustment of the economies and the area as a whole in response to
terms-of-trade shocks under four monetary policy rules: fully optimal, optimal
inflation targeting, HICP targeting and output gap stabilization.