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  • 标题:Inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy in the Euro Area
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Pierpaolo Benigno y J. David López-Salido
  • 期刊名称:Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
  • 印刷版ISSN:0213-2710
  • 电子版ISSN:1579-8666
  • 出版年度:2002
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Banco de España
  • 摘要:In this paper we first present supporting evidence of the existence of het- erogeneity in inflation dynamics across euro area countries. Based on the es- timation of New Phillips Curves for five major countries of the euro area, we find that there is significant inertial (backward looking) behavior in inflation in four of them, while inflationinGermanyhasadominant forward looking component. In the second part of the paper we present an optimizing agent model for the euro area emphasizing the heterogeneity in inflation persistence across regions. Allowing for such a backward looking component will affect the evaluation of the degree of nominal rigidities relevant for the monetary policy design. We explore the welfare implications of this circumstance by compar- ing the adjustment of the economies and the area as a whole in response to terms-of-trade shocks under four monetary policy rules: fully optimal, optimal inflation targeting, HICP targeting and output gap stabilization.
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