文章基本信息

标题：Does housing really lead the business cycle
本地全文：下载
作者：Luis J. Álvarez ; Alberto Cabrero
期刊名称：Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
印刷版ISSN：0213-2710
电子版ISSN：1579-8666
出版年度：2010
卷号：1
出版社：Banco de España
摘要：
The aim of this paper is to characterize the cyclical properties of Spanish real and nominal housing
related variables. Our three main results are: First, housing appears to lead the business cycle. Second, fluctuation in home prices are positively related to those of residential investment, suggesting the dominant role of demand factors over supply ones. Third,there are interesting asymmetries in cyclical fluctuations: contractions in GDP appear to be briefer than expansions.
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