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  • 标题:Unemployment Persistence
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Torben M. Andersen
  • 期刊名称:CESifo Forum
  • 印刷版ISSN:1615-245X
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 期号:01
  • 出版社:Ifo Institute for Economic Research
  • 摘要:Higher unemployment is an inevitable consequence of the financial crisis. According to OECD projec- tions, unemployment for the OECD countries will on average rise from less than 6 percent in 2007 to 9 percent in 2010. Higher unemployment is a direct cost of the financial crisis, and there is a widespread fear that the increase in unemployment may become persistent. The experience from the 1970s and 1980s with high and persistent unemployment stands out as a worst case scenario with large social costs and severe consequences for the already much strained public finances. Accordingly, how to minimize the risk of persistent high unemployment is an impor- tant policy question.
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