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  • 标题:High-growth Recoveries, Inventories and the Great Moderation
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Maximo Camacho ; Gabriel Perez-Quiros y Hugo Rodríguez Mendizábal
  • 期刊名称:Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
  • 印刷版ISSN:0213-2710
  • 电子版ISSN:1579-8666
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Banco de España
  • 摘要:

    We present evidence about the loss of the so-called "plucking effect", that is, a high-growth phase of the cycle typically observed at the end of recessions. This result matches the belief, presented informally by different authors, that recession may have now permanent effects, or recession have now an L shape versus old-time recessions that always had a V shape. We also show that the loss of the "plucking effect" can explain part of the Great Moderation. We postulate that these two phenomena may be due to changes in inventory management brought about by improvements in information and communications technologies.

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