文章基本信息

标题：The Impact of EU Enlargement on Member States: a CGE Approach
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作者：Mohamed Hedi Bchir Lionel Fontagné Paolo Zanghieri
期刊名称：Document de Travail / Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales
出版年度：2003
卷号：1
出版社：Paris
摘要：This paper seeks to analyse the impact of European Union enlargement on accession countries and current EU as a whole, using a Computable General Equilibrium Model. Our aim is to provide an assessment of the impact of enlargement on the size and efficiency of firms and the varieties of products offered to consumers on the one side, quantify the macroeconomic effects in terms of welfare and factor prices (in particular wages) and gauge which sectors will be most heavily affected and in which countries production is more likely to relocate. We find that, all in all the impact on current EU members is negligible, whereas accession countries will face huge, and not always beneficial consequences. We also find that Copenhagen CAP agreements will play a crucial role.
关键词：European integration; enlargement; CGE modelling; transition economies