首页    期刊浏览 2025年02月28日 星期五
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Learning about Monetary Policy Rules when Long-Horizon Expectations Matter
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Bruce Preston ; Columbia University
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Central Banking
  • 印刷版ISSN:1815-4654
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:2005
  • 期号:sep
  • 出版社:IJCB Publications Fulfillment
  • 摘要:

    This paper considers the implications of an important source of model misspecification for the design of monetary policy rules: the assumed manner of expectations formation. In the model considered here, private agents seek to maximize their objectives subject to standard constraints and the restriction of using an econometric model to make inferences about future uncertainty. Because agents solve a multiperiod decision problem, their actions depend on forecasts of macroeconomic conditions many periods into the future, unlike the analysis of Bullard and Mitra (2002) and Evans and Honkapohja (2002). A Taylor rule ensures convergence to the rational expectations equilibrium associated with this policy if the so-called Taylor principle is satisfied. This suggests the Taylor rule to be desirable from the point of view of eliminating instability due to self-fulfilling expectations.

国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有