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  • 标题:Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated I (2) Systems: a Generalisation of the Triangular Model
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Rodney W. Strachan
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers / University of Leicester, Department of Economics
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:2005
  • 出版社:Leicester
  • 摘要:

    This paper generalises the cointegrating model of Phillips (1991) to allow for I (0) , I (1) and I (2) processes. The model has a simple form that permits a wider range of I (2) processes than are usually considered, including a more flexible form of polynomial cointegration. Further, the specification relaxes restrictions identified by Phillips (1991) on the I (1) and I (2) cointegrating vectors and restrictions on how the stochastic trends enter the system. To date there has been little work on Bayesian I (2) analysis and so this paper attempts to address this gap in the literature. A method of Bayesian inference in potentially I (2) processes is presented with application to Australian money demand using a Jeffreys prior and a shrinkage prior.

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