期刊名称:Discussion Papers / Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration
印刷版ISSN:0804-6824
出版年度:2006
卷号:2006
出版社:Bergen
摘要:A pay-as-you-go (paygo) pension program may provide intergenerational pooling of risks to
individuals’ labor and capital income over the life cycle. By means of illuminating closed form
solutions we demonstrate that the magnitude of the optimal paygo program and the nature of the
underlying risk sharing effects are very sensitive to the chosen combination of risk concepts and
stochastic specification of long run aggregate wage income growth. In an additive way we distinguish
between the pooling of wage and capital risks within periods and two different intertemporal risk
sharing mechanisms. For realistic parameter values, the magnitude of the optimal paygo program is
largest when wage shocks are not permanent and individuals in any generation are considered from a
pre-birth perspective, i.e. a “rawlsian risk sharing” perspective is adopted.
关键词:Social security; Risk sharing; Portfolio choice; Persistence in income shocks