文章基本信息

标题：The Dutch Economy in 2002-2004: a Forecast based on MORKMON
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作者：D. Jansen ; N. Jonker ; H.M.M. Peeters 等
期刊名称：DNB Research Reports
出版年度：2002
卷号：1
出版社：De Nederlandsche Bank
摘要：This report presents a forecast for 2002-2004 obtained with MORKMON, the macroeconometric model of the Nederlandsche Bank for the Netherlands, along with analyses on private consumption and the effects of automatic stabilisers during on economic downturn. Annual GDP-growth in 2002 is only 0.2%. The low economic growth is caused by a staying behind of private consumption growth and the decrease in business investments. This year’s inflation is still high with 3,5%, although it is already much lower than in 2001 when inflation was 4,5%.
关键词：macroeconomic forecasts, Dutch economy