期刊名称:Departmental Discussion Papers / University of Glasgow, Department of Economics
出版年度:2007
卷号:1
出版社:University of Glasgow, Department of Economics
摘要:EMU monetary policy targets aggregate Euro Area inflation. Concerns are growing that a focus on aggregate inflation may cause national inflation rates to diverge. While different explanations for diverging aggregate Euro Area inflation have been brought forward, the very impact of aggregation on divergence has however not been studied. We find a striking difference in convergence depending on the level of aggregation. While aggregate national inflation rates are diverging, disaggregate inflation rates are converging. We find that aggregation appears to bias evidence towards non-convergence. Our results are consistent with prominent theoretical and empirical evidence on aggregation bias.
关键词:Euro Area Inflation; Aggregation Bias; Convergence.