文章基本信息

标题：Global Oil and Gas Depletion – A Letter to the Energy Modelling Community
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作者：Roger W. Bentley
期刊名称：IAEE Energy Forum (formerly: IAEE Newsletter)
印刷版ISSN：1093-4243
电子版ISSN：1944-3188
出版年度：2006
卷号：2
页码：6-6
出版社：International Association for Energy Economics
摘要：This letter requests the energy modelling community to move rapidly to understand depletion of the world’s conventional oil and gas, so that significant effort can be put into analysis of the problems that arise. There are two very different views about the seriousness of conventional oil and gas depletion. One view maintains that the resource-limited peak in the global production of conventional oil is near, and that the corresponding peak for conventional gas is within sight. The other view sees no near-term resource limits to either oil or gas supply, and fears that if society listens to the ‘near-term peakers’ damaging economic policies will result.