期刊名称:IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
印刷版ISSN:1755-1307
电子版ISSN:1755-1315
出版年度:2008
卷号:4
出版社:IOP Publishing
摘要:Hydrological models are an important basis of flood forecasting and early
warning systems. They provide significant data on hydrological risks. In
combination with other modelling techniques, such as hydrodynamic models, they
can be used to assess the extent and impact of hydrological events. The new
European Flood Directive forces all member states to evaluate flood risk on a
catchment scale, to compile maps of flood hazard and flood risk for prone areas,
and to inform on a local level about these risks. Flood hazard and flood risk
maps are important tools to communicate flood risk to different target groups.
They provide compiled information to relevant public bodies such as water
management authorities, municipalities, or civil protection agencies, but also
to the broader public. For almost each section of a river basin, run-off and
water levels can be defined based on the likelihood of annual recurrence, using
a combination of hydrological and hydrodynamic models, supplemented by an
analysis of historical records and mappings. In combination with data related to
the vulnerability of a region risk maps can be derived. The project RISKCATCH
addressed these issues of hydrological risk and vulnerability assessment
focusing on the flood risk management process. Flood hazard maps and flood risk
maps were compiled for Austrian and German test sites taking into account
existing national and international guidelines. These maps were evaluated by
eye-tracking using experimental graphic semiology. Sets of small-scale as well
as large-scale risk maps were presented to test persons in order to (1) study
reading behaviour as well as understanding and (2) deduce the most attractive
components that are essential for target-oriented risk communication. A
cognitive survey asking for negative and positive aspects and complexity of each
single map complemented the experimental graphic semiology. The results indicate
how risk maps can be improved to fit the needs of different user groups.
Recommendations were developed of how to provide stakeholder-oriented
information on hydrological risks.