文章基本信息

标题：Three fuzzy reasoning models as a decision suport aid, to find an electrical energy tariff
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作者：Viorel DUGAN ; Razvan SOLEA ; Clara IONESCU 等
期刊名称：Annals of “Dunarea de Jos”
印刷版ISSN：1221-454X
出版年度：2005
卷号：2005
出版社：“Dunarea de Jos” University of Galati
摘要：This contribution is a laboratory-work developed as an example of approximate (fuzzy) reasoning for students, possible to be used as a decision – support to estimate an electrical energy (EE) price for consumers. The three fuzzy tariff estimation models that are developed, integrate not only the S.C Electrica S.A.-single-supplier rate position, but and some (social) constraints/ compulsions of National Authority of Settlements from Energy (NASE) beginning with 1999, in this transition period from Romania. Although is possible, the paper not refer to a partial-price concrete case (internal tariff used in certain year, production price, transport price, distribution price, spot price, or an external price to be sold electrical energy, etc). This “laboratory-work-paper” shows how, by changing the parameters of S.C Electrica S.A. and NASE, it is possible to can perform sensitivity tests on the tariff function model, until can obtain an acceptable and true price. In this aim, the three fuzzy models use different rules for pricing: conservative, aggressive, and different order of words concerning the rules respectively, finally doing a comparation among prices and models. The paper not finished all fuzzy possibilities (rules) which can influences the expected value of a some EE tariff but, with certitude, can create a discussion base, about the way of approximate/ fuzzy reasoning, as a modality to find and to refine an EE price.
关键词：fuzzy reasoning decision-support, fuzzy different models, EE tariff estimation