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  • 标题:RevPAR increase predicted - Stock Index
  • 作者:Bjorn Hanson
  • 期刊名称:Hotel & Motel Management
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:Feb 16, 2004
  • 出版社:Questex Media Group

RevPAR increase predicted - Stock Index

Bjorn Hanson

During the one-month period ending Jan. 22, PricewaterhouseCoopers' lodging C-Corp index increased about 3 percent, and PWC's lodging REIT index increased nearly 6 percent; the S&P 500 increased 4.67 percent during the same period. Compared with previous-year levels, stocks in PWC's lodging indices outperformed the broad equity indices.

The recovery of corporate profits and GDP growth in 2003, combined with the continued consumer confidence and a weaker dollar, are positive factors for the lodging industry's performance in 2004. PWC forecasts RevPAR to increase by 5.2 percent in 2004, substantially higher than the 0.3 percent RevPAR increase of 2003.

                                Oct-'03   Nov-'03    Dec-03 *

U.S. Lodging Industry Rev          3.0%      3.6%   3.0% - 5.0%
PAR (% change, previous year)

Economic indicators              1Q-'03    2Q-'03     3Q-'03

Real GDP (seasonally adjusted      1.4%      3.3%      8.2%
at annual rates)

Percentage change from          Oct-'03   Nov-'03     Dec-'03
previous month

Producer prices
   Total                           0.8      -0.3         0.3
   Core                            0.5      -0.1        -0.1
Consumer prices
   Total                           0.0      -0.2         0.2
   Core                            0.2      -0.1         0.1
Construction                       0.9       4.5
Manufacturers' orders              2.4      -1.4
Durable goods orders               4.0      -3.1

* Preliminary estimate

Sources: Smith Travel Research; U. S. Department of Commerce;
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics; Wall Street Journal.

Top Declines

f Humphrey Hospitality Trust   -5.3%
f Gaylord Entertainment Co.    -3.7%
f Janus Hotels and Resorts     -3.2%
f Arlington Hospitality        -2.1%
f Hilton Hotels Corp.          -0.7%

Top Advances

[eth] Wyndham International         114.5%
[eth] Lodgian                        40.2%
[eth] InnSuites Hospitality Trust    35.2%
[eth] Jameson Inns Co.               25.6%
[eth] John Q. Hammons Hotels         20.6%

Bjorn Hanson, Ph.D., is industry leader, hospitality and leisure, for PricewaterhouseCoopers, which offers hotel consulting, forecasting and analysis services.

COPYRIGHT 2004 Advanstar Communications, Inc.
COPYRIGHT 2004 Gale Group

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