文章基本信息

标题：Reduced emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD): a climate change mitigation strategy on a critical track
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作者：Michael Köhl ; Thomas Baldauf ; Daniel Plugge 等
期刊名称：Carbon Balance and Management
印刷版ISSN：1750-0680
电子版ISSN：1750-0680
出版年度：2009
卷号：4
期号：1
页码：1-10
DOI：10.1186/1750-0680-4-10
出版社：BioMed Central
摘要：Following recent discussions, there is hope that a mechanism for reduction of emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) will be agreed by the Parties of the UNFCCC at their 15th meeting in Copenhagen in 2009 as an eligible action to prevent climate changes and global warming in post-2012 commitment periods. Countries introducing a REDD-regime in order to generate benefits need to implement sound monitoring and reporting systems and specify the associated uncertainties. The principle of conservativeness addresses the problem of estimation errors and requests the reporting of reliable minimum estimates (RME). Here the potential to generate benefits from applying a REDD-regime is proposed with reference to sampling and non-sampling errors that influence the reliability of estimated activity data and emission factors. A framework for calculating carbon benefits by including assessment errors is developed. Theoretical, sample based considerations as well as a simulation study for five selected countries with low to high deforestation and degradation rates show that even small assessment errors (5% and less) may outweigh successful efforts to reduce deforestation and degradation. The generation of benefits from REDD is possible only in situations where assessment errors are carefully controlled.
关键词：Carbon Stock;Clean Development Mechanism;Forest Degradation;Carbon Credit;Deforestation Rate