文章基本信息

标题：Forecasting Model of Automobile Loan Based on Conditional Expectation
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作者：Liang Sun ; Derong Tan ; Yuqi Nie 等
期刊名称：Modern Economy
印刷版ISSN：2152-7245
电子版ISSN：2152-7261
出版年度：2010
卷号：1
期号：2
页码：125-128
DOI：10.4236/me.2010.12013
出版社：Scientific Research Publishing
摘要：A double forecasting model based on conditional expectation was proposed through probability distribution of demand of automobile loan. The demand of automobile loan is the sum of all compound variables which indicated that automobile loan was credited to customer occurring in a certain period of time. Probability distribution of automobile loan was acquired using throughout probability theory. In view of such a fact, demand of automobile loan can be viewed as an conditional mathematic expectation. The forecasting model is proposed using growing function. Theoretical analysis and Case study shows that model based on conditional expectation is better than other model available with respect to forecasting demand of automobile loan.
关键词：Automobile Loan; Conditional Expectation; Throughout Probability Theory