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  • 标题:The Effect of Balassa-Samuelson in South-East Asia
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Saadiah Mohamad ; Kamaruzaman Jusoff ; Mahendhiran Nair
  • 期刊名称:Asian Social Science
  • 印刷版ISSN:1911-2017
  • 电子版ISSN:1911-2025
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 卷号:4
  • 期号:8
  • 页码:112
  • DOI:10.5539/ass.v4n8p112
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:High growth in the South-East Asian countries for the past three decades should imply high increases in productivity to reveal the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) effect of high growth accompanied by real exchange rate (RER) appreciation. This paper examines the effects of productivity increases by developing a robust unrestricted error correction model (UECM) of RER based on a class of theories of time-varying equilibrium exchange rates as opposed to the conventional PPP-based theory. An empirical study was carried out on four selected Southeast Asian countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand. This work suggests that the effects of productivity increases may be more complicated than what the theory suggests and points to the possibility that the Balassa-Samuelson is affected by the stage of economic development rather than mere productivity increases.
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