文章基本信息

标题：The Formulation Iranian Educational Sports Strategies: Scenario-based
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作者：Shahvali Kohshouri, Javad ; Askari, Ahmadreza ; Nazari, Rasool 等
期刊名称：پژوهش در ورزش‌ تربیتی
印刷版ISSN：2538-2721
电子版ISSN：2538-3388
出版年度：2021
卷号：8
期号：21
页码：223-250
DOI：10.22089/res.2020.8611.1834
出版社：Sport Sciences Research Institute
摘要：The aim of this study was to explore the future of educational sport in Iran to predict the future of educational sport and to formulate strategies for the year 2035. To predict, the scenario-based approach based on an intuitive logic approach was applied and to design the scenarios, the strategy of trends and uncertainty analysis as well as a six-step integrated scenario planning were used. First, the project boundary was specified. Then, the main factors of development and the blind spots were identified with a 360-degree feedback. Subsequently, two key uncertainties were formulated as the basis to design the scenario. Then, a complete definition for the four possible scenarios was provided in detail. In the fifth step, a general strategy based on the scenarios was presented. Finally, in the last step the strategies were monitored and controlled. The participants of this study were 44 internal and external stakeholders of Iranian educational sport selected by a purposeful sampling. The data were collected through interviews and open-ended questionnaires. According to the results, the analysis of the 30 key factors ultimately lead to the production of two key uncertainties; "networking among key actors" and "family and community synergy", which were the basis of Iran's four major educational sporting scenarios. As a result, it is suggested that, in order to develop the Iranian educational sport, networking and synergy of institutions with the focus on Ministry of Sport and Youth be done.
关键词：Foresight;Scenario planning;Strategy;Educational Sport