文章基本信息

标题：Demand Forecast in Health İnstitutions: Application on Surgical Gauze
其他标题：Sağlık Kurumlarında Talep Tahmini: Cerrahi Gazlı Bez Üzerine Uygulama
本地全文：下载
作者：Pınar UÇAKKUŞ ; Seyhan Çil KOÇYİĞİT
期刊名称：İşletme Araştırmaları Dergisi
印刷版ISSN：1309-0712
出版年度：2019
卷号：11
期号：4
DOI：10.20491/isarder.2019.818
语种：English
出版社：Isarder
摘要：Purpose – For effective and efficient use of scarce resources,by using appropriate methods is required accurate estimation. There is no compensation for the lack of resources in health. In the study,by using quantitative estimation methods in surgical gauze consumption in the intensive care unit of Gazi University were estimated how much it will be consumed for future periods. Design/methodology/approach – In this study,moving average,exponential smoothing,Winters Holt- and linear regression forecasting methods that are demand estimate have been used. Mean Absolute Percent Error(MAPE) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) have been used for the measurement of the accuracy of forecast results. Findings – As a result of the comparison between methods,the error rate was found to be the least in the moving average method. Discussion – Since the cost of medical equipment is high in hospital expenses,the profitability of hospital can be increased and waste can be prevented by estimating the right amount of material at the right time.
其他摘要：Amaç – Kıt kaynakların etkili ve verimli kullanılması için uygun yöntemler kullanılarak doğru tahmin yapılması gerekir. Sağlıkta kaynakların yokluğunun telafisi yoktur. Araştırmada Gazi Üniversitesi yoğun bakım ünitesinde cerrahi gazlı bez tüketiminde kan
关键词：Time Series;Medical Supplies;Demand Forecasting
其他关键词：Zaman Serileri;Tıbbi Malzemeler;Talep Tahmini