出版社:Research Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine
摘要:The paper presents the results of a study aimed at developing a system dynamics model of sustainable development in the region. It is proved that the management of sustainable development in the region should be based on a reasonable forecast of the future. However,under current conditions,with a high level of instability,there are many possible futures. Therefore it was concluded that the modeling of regional development is appropriate to use a scenario approach,engendering possible scenarios. The paper proposed the development of a simulation (system dynamic) model of the Kharkiv region,which includes the following basic block: "Social services","Budget","Economy","Investment","Foreign Trade","Innovation" and "Ecology". The article describes the structure of the blocks and provides flow diagrams and cause-effect relationships in them.
其他摘要:У статті представлено результати дослідження,спрямованого на розробку системно-динамічної моделі сталого розвитку регіону. Доведено,що управління сталим розвитком регіону повинне базуватися на обґрунтованому прогнозі майбутнього. Однак у сучасних умовах,щ
关键词:model;management;risk management;scenario simulation;system dynamics model
其他关键词:модель;регіон;стійкий розвиток;сценарне моделювання;системно-дінамічна модель