期刊名称:Ovidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series
电子版ISSN:2393-3127
出版年度:2011
卷号:11
期号:2
语种:English
出版社:Ovidius University Press
摘要:This paper highlights the historical trajectory of the global economic forecasting models of type GEM (Global Economic Model) and a comparative analysis of advantages and limitations offered by each model. The GEM 2004 is based on the correlation that exists between the academic scientific research and the existing economic policy models,which after its application,resulted that real GDP in the euro area will increase as a result of higher capital stock and number of hours worked. Consumption will increase as a result of increased investment and depreciation of the euro,while investments will be influenced by the economic reforms implemented. The GEM 2007 is a multiregional model covering the global economy that allows the analysis of the bilateral trade flows and the relative prices for each region.
关键词:evolution of the work;government consumption;government investment;public procurement;GDP growth.