文章基本信息

标题：The demise of the rural Nordic region? Analysis of regional population trends in the Nordic countries, 1990 to 2040
本地全文：下载
作者：Timothy Heleniak ; Nora Sánchez Gassen
期刊名称：Nordisk Välfärdsforskning
电子版ISSN：2464-4161
出版年度：2020
卷号：5
期号：1
页码：40-57
DOI：10.18261/issn.2464-4161-2020-01-05
出版社：Universitetsforlaget
摘要：The population of the Nordic region has grown substantially during recent decades, though most of this growth has been in urban regions. While the Nordic countries are projected to see continued population growth in the future, almost all of the increase will be concentrated in urban centres, with population decline or stagnation in many rural municipalities. This will make it difficult for these regions to remain economically competitive and for national governments to provide a uniform level of services across entire countries. This article provides policymakers at the national, regional, and municipal levels with projections of the size, composition, and geographic distribution of rural populations in the Nordic countries in 2040. In total, remote rural regions will not become depopulated and are projected to grow moderately from 5.3 to 5.5 million persons to 2040, though many will experience significant declines in their total and working-age populations and will have much older age structures. For many rural municipalities in the Nordic region, their population peak was at some point in the distant past, and they should therefore develop policies based on smaller populations.
关键词：Rural policy; population projections; shrinking cities; aging