文章基本信息

标题：OPERATIONALIZATION AND ESTIMATION OF BALANCED DEVELOPMENT INDEX FOR POLAND 1999-2016
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作者：Andrzej K. Koźmiński ; Adam Noga ; Katarzyna Piotrowska 等
期刊名称：Statistics in Transition
印刷版ISSN：1234-7655
电子版ISSN：2450-0291
出版年度：2015
卷号：16
期号：3
页码：461-487
DOI：10.21307/stattrans-2015-026
出版社：Exeley Inc.
摘要：Stemming from assumption that Gross Domestic Product is an index oversimplifying economic development and not reflecting socio-economic development, the paper presents conceptualization, operationalization and estimation of Balanced Development Index (BDI), concerning both economic and social development in Poland. Actual values of this index as well as its four composite components (middle-level indexes) are presented for 1999-2013. A statistical model allowing estimation of BDI values as well as short-term forecasts is proposed alongside with the concept of balanced development. Application of this model for 1999-2016 is presented.
关键词：socio-economic development;index;economic indicators;social indicators;balanced development;evaluations;predictions.