文章基本信息

标题：A Comparison of Incumbency Across Institutions: A Look at the House, Senate, and Governorships
其他标题：A Comparison of Incumbency Across Institutions: A Look at the House, Senate, and Governorships
本地全文：下载
作者：Brad Lockerbie
期刊名称：American Review of Politics
印刷版ISSN：2374-7781
电子版ISSN：2374-779X
出版年度：2005
卷号：25
页码：287-303
DOI：10.15763/issn.2374-7781.2004.25.0.287-303
出版社：University of Oklahoma Libraries
摘要：Using the American National Election Studies of 1990, 1994, and 1998, we can see that there is an incumbency advantage for governors, senators, and members of the House of Representatives. There is, however, some variability to the magnitude of the incumbency advantage. Moreover, it appears to follow a rather sensible pattern. It appears to be strongest for members of the House and weakest for Governors. When looking at House elections, we can see that incumbency is more powerful than is party identification. When we look at senatorial and gubernatorial elections, the items appear to be more evenly matched. When we look at evaluations of the national parties performance and expectations of performance, the picture becomes much more muddy. Gubernatorial candidates consistently avoid being held accountable for their national parties past economic performance. Candidates for the House and Senate are largely able to avoid responsibility for the past economic performance of their national parties. Economic expectations, however, are modestly more related to vote choice.