文章基本信息

标题：Analysis and prediction of apple production in the Republic of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina
其他标题：Analiza i predviđanje proizvodnje jabuke u Republici Srbiji i Bosni i Hercegovini
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作者：Užar Dubravka ; Tekić Dragana ; Mutavdžić Beba 等
期刊名称：Ekonomija: teorija i praksa
印刷版ISSN：2217-5458
电子版ISSN：2620-0228
出版年度：2019
卷号：12
期号：4
页码：1-10
DOI：10.5937/etp1904001U
出版社：University Business Academy - Faculty of Economics and Engineering Management, Novi Sad, Serbia
摘要：The paper analyzes the parameters of apple production in the Republic of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina in the period 2006-17. The prediction of apple production parameters for next year was carried out using the linear trend model and moving average. The following parameters were analyzed: harvested area (ha); yield (t/ha) and total production (t). On average; there were 24;760 hectares with apple trees in Serbia and 19.040 hectares in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The average apple yield was 12.7 t/ha in Serbia and 3.43 t/ha in Bosnia and Herzegovina. In the observed period; there was an average tendency of increase in yield by 3.78% per year in Serbia; whereas in Bosnia and Herzegovina; there was a noticeable negative rate; namely a tendency of yield decline by 1.17% on average per year. The average annual apple production in Serbia was 313;177 tons and in the analyzed period there was a tendency of increase in yield by 4;22%. In Bosnia and Herzegovina; the average annual apple production was 65;186 tons and in the analyzed period there was a negative rate of 0.96% i.e. a decline in yield. In the next year; the Republic of Serbia should achieve apple production of 431;305 tons; while Bosnia and Herzegovina is expected to produce 60;657 tons.
关键词：proizvodnja jabuke; predviđanje; Republika Srbija; Bosna i Hercegovina