期刊名称:International Journal of Population Data Science
电子版ISSN:2399-4908
出版年度:2019
卷号:4
期号:1
页码:1-13
DOI:10.23889/ijpds.v4i1.461
出版社:Swansea University
摘要:IntroductionMultimorbidity is a complex and growing health challenge. There is no accepted “gold standard†multimorbidity measure for hospital resource planning, and few studies have compared measures in hospitalised patients. AimTo evaluate operationalisation of two multimorbidity measures in routine hospital episode data in NHS Grampian, Scotland. MethodsLinked hospital episode data (Scottish Morbidity Record (SMR)) for the years 2009-2016 were used. Adults admitted to hospital as a general/acute inpatient during 2014 were included. Conditions (ICD-10) were identified from general/acute (SMR01) and psychiatric (SMR04) admissions during the five years prior to first admission in 2014. Two count-based multimorbidity measures were used (Charlson Comorbidity Index and Tonelli et al.), and multimorbidity was defined as ≥2 conditions. Kappa statistics assessed agreement. The association between multimorbidity and length of stay, readmission and mortality was assessed using logistic and negative binomial regression as appropriate. ResultsIn 41,545 adults (median age 62 years, 52.6% female), multimorbidity prevalence was 15.1% (95% CI 14.8%, 15.5%) using Charlson and 27.4% (27.0%, 27.8%) using Tonelli – agreement 85.1% (Kappa 0.57). Multimorbidity prevalence, using both measures, increased with age. Multimorbidity was higher in males (16.5%) than females (13.9%) using the Charlson measure, but similar across genders when measured with Tonelli. After adjusting for covariates, multimorbidity remained associated with longer length of stay (Charlson IRR 1.1 (1.0, 1.2); Tonelli IRR 1.1 (1.0, 1.2)) and readmission (Charlson OR 2.1 (1.9, 2.2); Tonelli OR 2.1 (2.0, 2.2)). Multimorbidity had a stronger association with mortality when measured using Charlson (OR 2.7 (2.5, 2.9)), than using Tonelli (OR (1.8 (1.7, 2.0)). ConclusionsMultimorbidity measures operationalised in hospital episode data identified those at risk of poor outcomes and such operationalised tools will be useful for future multimorbidity research and use in secondary care data systems. Multimorbidity measures are not interchangeable, and the choice of measure should depend on the purpose. Hightlights Operationalisation of two count-based multimorbidity measures using linked electronic hospitalepisode data was evaluated (Charlson and Tonelli). First study to compare the Tonelli measure with another measure for investigating multimor-bidity in hospitalised patients. Multimorbidity prevalence differed depending on measure used, but both multimorbidity mea-sures identified those at risk of poor outcomes. Operationalised multimorbidity tools have uses for future multimorbidity research and use insecondary care data systems. Multimorbidity measures are not interchangeable, and choice of measure should depend onpurpose.
关键词:Secondary care; Multimorbidity; Prevalence; Mortality; Patient readmission; Length of stay; Electronic health records