文章基本信息

标题：The Asymmetric Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Vietnam: Evidence by Nonlinear ARDL Approach
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作者：Bui Hoang NGOC
期刊名称：Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
印刷版ISSN：2288-4637
电子版ISSN：2288-4645
出版年度：2020
卷号：7
期号：2
页码：143-149
DOI：10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no2.143
语种：English
出版社：Korean Distribution Science Association
摘要：Low inflation and sustainable growth have been the major macroeconomic goals being pursued by every developing country,Vietnam inclusive.The effect of inflation on economic growth has been intensively analyzed by a variety of studies,but the empirical evidence more often than not remains controversial and ambiguous.One common hypothesis of previous studies is that they have assumed that the effect of inflation on growth is symmetric.The main purpose of this study is to investigate the asymmetric effect of inflation and money supply on economic growth using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach introduced by Shin,Byungchul,and Greenwood-nimmo (2013) for Vietnam over the period 1990-2017.Empirical results provide evidence that the effects of inflation on economic growth are negative and asymmetric in the long run.The impact of money supply on growth is positive in both the short-run and long-run.Accordingly,the impact of the increase in the inflation rate is bigger than the decreasing in the long-run.This different impact is significant and high inflation will destruct economic activities.As a result,the study provides empirical evidence for the authorities to plan monetary policies and control the rate of inflation to achieve sustainable economic development in the long-run.
关键词：Inflation;Money supply;Economic Growth;Asymmetry;Vietnam