文章基本信息

标题：OLASILIKLI PERT ANALİZİNDE KULLANILAN BETA DAĞILIMI VE UYGULAMA HATALARI
本地全文：下载
作者：Osman UNUTULMAZ ; Osman UNUTULMAZ
期刊名称：Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
印刷版ISSN：1301-3688
电子版ISSN：2630-6409
出版年度：1983
期号：4
页码：181-189
语种：Turkish
出版社：Erciyes University
摘要：İn thls paper,we mainly concentrated on spocial types of bela distributlons which are employed İn probabillstlc PERT models.Contrary to tho exletir>g literatüre,it is claimed that the mostllkely or modal value of the beta distributlons should not be estimated.Because.for a given set of parameters and an estimated range.the modal value of the beta distribution is completely determined.Thus,dependlng on the magnltude of the dlfference between the estimated modal value and the cal-culated one,expected completlon time of each actlvity and that of the project may dlffer greatly from the one that coüld be obtained othervvise.Thls dlfference conseçuently,may cause selectlon of an Incorrect crltical path and misleading comple-tion time probabllities.
关键词：olasılıklı pert analizinde kullanılan beta dağılımı;Program Evaluation and Revievv Technique