文章基本信息

标题：Statistical Analysis of Notational AFL Data Using Continuous Time Markov Chains
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作者：Denny Meyer ; Denny Meyer ; Don Forbes 等
期刊名称：Journal of Sports Science and Medicine
印刷版ISSN：1303-2968
出版年度：2006
卷号：5
期号：4
页码：525-532
语种：English
出版社：University of Uludag
摘要：Animal biologists commonly use continuous time Markov chain models to describe patterns of animal behaviour. In this paper we consider the use of these models for describing AFL football. In particular we test the assumptions for continuous time Markov chain models (CTMCs), with time, distance and speed values associated with each transition. Using a simple event categorisation it is found that a semi-Markov chain model is appropriate for this data. This validates the use of Markov Chains for future studies in which the outcomes of AFL matches are simulated.
关键词：Homogeneity in time;sequential dependency;semi-Markov process;football