文章基本信息

标题：The Causality Relationship Between Istanbul Stock Exchange 100 Index and Consumer Confidence Index: The Case of Turkey
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作者：İsmail CANÖZ
期刊名称：Fiscaoeconomia
电子版ISSN：2564-7504
出版年度：2018
卷号：2
期号：1
页码：136-153
DOI：10.25295/fsecon.2018.01.007
语种：English
出版社：Fsecon
摘要：Traditional finance theories ignore investors’ sensitivity and psychology, assuming that they are rational. This situation leads to emergence of behavioral finance theories. The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between the Consumer Confidence Indices announced for Turkey and the Istanbul Stock Exchange Index. Within this scope,the monthly data from 2004 to 2017 have been analyzed using the Toda-Yamamoto Causality Test,which will be used for the first time in this subject. According to the analysis result,it is determined that there is a one-way causality relation from stock returns to consumer confidence. As a result,consumers’ confidence for the economy is affected by fluctuations in stock exchanges..
其他摘要：Geleneksel finans teorileri,yatırımcıların rasyonel olduğunu varsayarak,onların duyarlılıklarını ve psikolojilerini göz ardı etmiştir. Bu durum davranışsal finans teorilerinin ortaya çıkmasına yol açmıştır. Bu çalışmanın amacı,Türkiye için açıklanan Tüket
关键词：Behavioral Finance; Investor Sentiment; Consumer Confidence Index; Toda-Yamamoto Causality Test