文章基本信息

标题：Mapping uncertainty from multi-criteria analysis of land development suitability, the case of Howth, Dublin
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作者：Bernadette Quinn ; Kerry Schiel ; Geoffrey Caruso 等
期刊名称：Journal of Maps
印刷版ISSN：1744-5647
出版年度：2015
卷号：11
期号：3
页码：487-495
DOI：10.1080/17445647.2014.978907
出版社：Journal of Maps
摘要：This paper presents a method for determining and mapping suitable locations for development using Multi Criteria Analysis and the Analytical Hierarchy Process and considering uncertainties in the process. The method is applied to the case study of Howth (Dublin), where development suitability is assessed against specific protection and conservation areas as well as ground water vulnerability. Uncertainty is incorporated using a Monte Carlo simulation into the Analytical Hierarchy Process calculations to determine criteria weightings. A map is derived, which includes, for all locations, both site suitability for development and the level of uncertainty attached to this suitability. The map combines a double categorization of suitability and uncertainty. The method allows for increased transparency in decision making regarding site suitability for development, as well as increased confidence in decision making to allow for reduced risk in terms of the potential impact of development.
关键词：analytical hierarchy process; GIS; land use planning; multi criteria analysis; uncertainty; Monte Carlo analysis