文章基本信息

标题：Population and age structure in Hungary: a residential preference and age dependency approach to disaggregate census data
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作者：Sen Li ; Linda Juhász-Horváth ; Paula A. Harrison 等
期刊名称：Journal of Maps
印刷版ISSN：1744-5647
出版年度：2016
卷号：12
期号：sup1
页码：560-569
DOI：10.1080/17445647.2016.1237898
出版社：Journal of Maps
摘要：We present a simple model to disaggregate age structured population census data to a 1-km grid for Hungary. A dasymetric approach was used to predict the spatial distribution of population in different age groups by distinguishing residential preferences (in relation to accessible social, economic and green amenities) for working age groups (15–29, 30–49 and 50–64) and population dependencies for children and the elderly (aged 0–14 and 65+). By using open-access land cover data and fine-level population census data as inputs, the model predicts the likely spatial distribution of population and age structure for Hungary in 2011. The resulting map and gridded data provide information to support spatial planning of residential development and urban infrastructure. The model is less data-demanding than most existing approaches, but provides greater power for describing population patterns. It can also be used to create scenarios of future demographic change.
关键词：Age structure; dasymetric mapping; land cover; population distribution; residential preference; population dependency