文章基本信息

标题：ANALISIS PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN ARIMA PADA INDEKS HARGA PERDAGANGAN BESAR INDONESIA KELOMPOK KOMODITI PERTANIAN TAHUN 2000-2019
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作者：Bimo Setyawan ; Nur Indah Riwajanti ; Sidik Ismanu 等
期刊名称：Media Mahardhika: Media Komunikasi Ekonomi dan Manajemen
印刷版ISSN：0854-0861
电子版ISSN：2407-4950
出版年度：2020
卷号：18
期号：2
页码：198-205
DOI：10.29062/mahardika.v18i2.148
出版社：Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi (STIE) Mahardika
摘要：Purpose of this research was to forecasting analysis using arima in indonesia's big trade price index group of agricultural commodities in 2000-2019. In this study aims to see the forecast prediction on the Agricultural Commodity Big Price Index in the next 1 years. In Indonesian economy, indicators for looking at economic development in general and as an ingredient in market and monetary analysis are by measuring the average intertemporal price changes of a package of goods in wholesale trade. In Indonesia in the period of 2000 until 2019, agricultural commodities in the index The Big Trade Price is the most dominant commodity among other commodities. This study uses method the Arima model with several stages of identifying, estimating, diagnosing and forecasting. the results of this study have shown that the arima model can forecast in the agricultural sector.
关键词：ARIMA;IHPB;Agricultural