文章基本信息

标题：SURVEY MEASURES OF INFLATION EXPECTATION
本地全文：下载
作者：Endy Dwi Tjahjono ; Harmanta Harmanta ; Nur M. Adhi Purwato 等
期刊名称：Bulletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
印刷版ISSN：1410-8046
电子版ISSN：2460-9196
出版年度：2012
卷号：14
期号：4
页码：421-456
DOI：10.21098/bemp.v14i4.366
出版社：Bank Indonesia
摘要：The research objective was to analyze various survey measures of inflation expectation in Indonesia. We found that the heterogeneity of inflation expectationamong economic agents and professional forecastersfor short forecast horizon is very low. Survey measures of inflation expectation appear to be forward looking, but only for relatively short horizon. Although the magnitude and length vary across measures of inflation expectation, we find that shock to inflation expectation significantly affect the dynamics of the actual inflation rate. Based on the accuracy, the effect on actual inflation and directional information that they have in predicting current and future inflation, inflation expectation from Consensus Forecast outperformed the others.