首页    期刊浏览 2024年12月02日 星期一
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070)
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Susanne Grossman-Clarke ; Sebastian Schubert ; Thomas A. Clarke
  • 期刊名称:Erde
  • 印刷版ISSN:0013-9998
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:145
  • 期号:1-2
  • 页码:49-61
  • DOI:10.12854/erde-145-5
  • 出版社:Gesellschaft fur Erdkunde zu Berlin
  • 摘要:Summer extreme heat events in the arid Phoenix, Arizona (USA) metropolitan region for the period 2041-2070 are projected based on the ensemble of ten climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for the SRES A2 greenhouse gas emissions scenario by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Extreme heat events are identified by measures related to two thresholds of the maximum daily air temperature distribution for the historical reference period 1971-2000. Comparing this reference period to the model ensemble-mean, the frequency of extreme heat events is projected to increase by a factor of six to 1.9 events per summer and the average number of event days per year is projected to increase by a factor of 14. The inter-model range for the average number of EHE days per summer is larger for the projected climate, 10.6 to 42.2 days, than for simulations of the past climate simulations (1.5 to 2.4 days).
  • 其他摘要:Summer extreme heat events in the arid Phoenix, Arizona (USA) metropolitan region for the period 2041-2070 are projected based on the ensemble of ten climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for the SRES A2 greenhouse gas emissions scenario by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Extreme heat events are identified by measures related to two thresholds of the maximum daily air temperature distribution for the historical reference period 1971-2000. Comparing this reference period to the model ensemble-mean, the frequency of extreme heat events is projected to increase by a factor of six to 1.9 events per summer and the average number of event days per year is projected to increase by a factor of 14. The inter-model range for the average number of EHE days per summer is larger for the projected climate, 10.6 to 42.2 days, than for simulations of the past climate simulations (1.5 to 2.4 days).
  • 其他关键词:Extreme heat events;Phoenix;Arizona;USA;North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有