出版社:State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the National Academy of Statistics, Accounting and Audit (NASAA), the National Academy for Public Administration (NAPA) under the President of Ukraine
摘要:Поглиблено теоретико-методичні засади оцінювання державного боргу, досліджено погляди різних економічних шкіл щодо державного боргу як явища, що є тягарем для економіки. Представлена економіко-статистична оцінка динаміки видатків бюджету на обслуговування та погашення державного боргу України. Обґрунтовано, що ризик зростання обсягу платежів з обслуговування та погашення державного боргу є суттєвим чинником, що тривалий час породжує проблеми у сфері державних фінансів і впливає на бюджетну безпеку України.↓Углублены теоретико-методические основы оценки государственного долга, исследованы взгляды различных экономических школ на государственный долг как явление, которое является бременем для экономики. Представлена экономико-статистическая оценка динамики расходов бюджета на обслуживание и погашение государственного долга Украины. Обосновано, что риск роста объема платежей по обслуживанию и погашению государственного долга является существенным фактором, который длительное время порождает проблемы в сфере государственных финансов и влияет на бюджетную безопасность Украины.
其他摘要:the public debt is deepened, the visions of the public debt as a phenomenon burdening the national economy, found in various schools of economics, are reviewed. It is demonstrated that the high internal and external dept in parallel with the respectively growing expenditure for its service is a pressing problem for Ukraine, calling for an urgent solution. This raises the need for seeking ways to improve the public debt management mechanisms. The article’s objective is to deepen the theoretical and methodological framework for assessment of the public debt in Ukraine and the budget expenditures for its service. It is demonstrated that the public debt in Ukraine results from the public budget deficit, high sovereign borrowing from internal and external sources. The econometric assessment of the time series on budget expenditures for debt service and repayment in Ukraine is given. The analysis of the public debt dynamics in Ukraine shows that not only the increasing volume of public debt and State-guarantee debt, but also the increasing budget expenditures on its service and repayment are dangerous. The high deficit of public budget is persisting, which growth is caused, inter alia, by the payment commitments. The expenditures on service and repayment of public debt constitute a large share in the public budget expenditures. Forecasting calculations made in the article demonstrate the upward tendency in the public budget expenditures on repayment and service of the public debt of Ukraine, thus signaling the growing threats to the budget security of Ukraine. The main factors for the rapidly increased debt burden in Ukraine over the latest years are identified: the considerable devaluation of domestic currency (Hryvnya), sharp drop in GDP, the shrinking internal consumer demand, etc. It is demonstrated that the risk of the increasing payments for service of public debt is an essential and chronic factor generating problems in public finances and affecting the budget security of Ukraine.
关键词:public debt; repayment of public debt; service of public debt; public budget; budget expenditures.
其他关键词:public debt; repayment of public debt; service of public debt; public budget; budget expenditures.