文章基本信息

标题：Real-Time Forecasts of Typhoon Rapid Intensification in The North Western Pacific Basin with the NCEP Operational HWRF Model
本地全文：下载
作者：Vijay Tallapragada ; Chanh Kieu
期刊名称：Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
印刷版ISSN：2225-6032
出版年度：2014
卷号：3
期号：2
页码：63-77
DOI：10.6057/2014TCRR02.01
出版社：Elsevier BV
摘要：This study presents the real-time performance of the United States (US) National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model in predicting rapid intensification (RI) of typhoons in the North Western Pacific (WPAC) basin in 2013. Examination of all RI cases in WPAC during 2013 shows that the HWRF model captures a consistent vortex structure at the onset of all RI as seen in previous idealized studies with HWRF. However, HWRF has issues with predicting RI when the model vortex is initialized with intensity greater than hurricane strength.
关键词：rapid intensification ; typhoons/tropical cyclones ; operational forecasting