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  • 标题:Trade Reforms, Macroeconomic Performance and Welfare in Malawi
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Harold Ngalawa
  • 期刊名称:Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences
  • 电子版ISSN:2039-2117
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:307-311
  • DOI:10.5901/mjss.2014.v5n3p307
  • 出版社:Mediterranean Center of Social and Educational Research (MCSER)
  • 摘要:This paper sets out to show efficiency gains and/or losses of trade reforms in Malawi using simulation experiments in a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Among others, the study shows that a 50 percent tariff cut coupled with fixed government savings has the same impact on selected macroeconomic variables when capital is mobile as when it is activity specific. When capital is activity-specific, the tariff cut has a positive impact on labour income in the non-agricultural sector and a similar impact on capital income in commercial agriculture. Overall labour income in the agricultural sector is unaffected while the impact on capital income in small scale agriculture and non-agriculture sectors is negative. When capital is mobile, the tariff cut leads to a fall in the capital income in small scale agriculture. The study further shows that doubling foreign aid to Malawi increases consumption and adversely affects the production side of the economy.
  • 关键词:computable general equilibrium;trade reforms;welfare
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