文章基本信息

标题：Scenario forecasting changes in the water balance components of the Olenek and Iindigirka river basins due to possible climate change
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作者：Gusev, Ye. M. ; Nasonova, O. N. ; Dzhogan, L. Ya. 等
期刊名称：Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences
印刷版ISSN：2199-8981
电子版ISSN：2199-899X
出版年度：2015
卷号：371
页码：13-15
DOI：10.5194/piahs-371-13-2015
摘要：Scenario projections of the dynamics of meteorological characteristics for the basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers (the Republic of Sakha) in the XXI century have been obtained for four IPCC global climate change scenarios of SRES family which correspond to specified scenarios of economic, technological, political, and demographic development of human civilization. The projections have been used to calculate scenarios of possible changes in water balance components for the basins under consideration up to the year of 2063. The calculation procedure involves a physically-based model for heat and mass exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere SWAP and climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.