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  • 标题:Can Business Students Forecast Their Own Grade?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Belayet Hossain ; Panagiotis Tsigaris
  • 期刊名称:American Journal of Business Education
  • 电子版ISSN:1942-2512
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:85-92
  • DOI:10.19030/ajbe.v6i1.7486
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Clute Institute for Academic Research
  • 摘要:This study examines grade expectations of two groups of business students for their final course mark. We separate students that are on average better forecasters on the basis of them not making significant forecast errors during the semester from those students that are poor forecasters of their final grade. We find that the better forecasters are students that have a higher final grade on average than the poor forecasters. The sample evidence indicates that students are overconfident, as indicated by their initial grade expectations, irrespective of ability to forecast. But these expectations change during the semester in the downwards direction as students accumulate information on their performance. As expected the poor forecasting students have much more sluggish expectations.
  • 关键词:Grade Expectations;Forecasting;Overconfidence
  • 其他关键词:Grade Expectations;Forecasting;Overconfidence
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