INSTITUTIONAL STRENGTH, PEACEBUILDING, AND PRODUCTIVE ENTREPRENEURSHIP - EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS IN COLOMBIA.
Cortes-Sanchez, Julian David
INSTITUTIONAL STRENGTH, PEACEBUILDING, AND PRODUCTIVE ENTREPRENEURSHIP - EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS IN COLOMBIA.
Introduction
The differences in long-term growth among and within nations are
strongly influenced by institutions (Acemoglu et al. 2005, Acemoglu and
Robinson 2008). Institutions are inclusive or extractive rules or norms
that shape social, political, and economic interactions (Acemoglu and
Robinson 2012, Hall and Taylor 1996, North 1991, Ostrom 1986, Scott
2004, Williamson 1985). In Colombia, institutions have been historically
extractive (Acemoglu and Robinson 2012) producing two structural
problems: 1) destructive entrepreneurship; and 2) armed conflict.
First, Baumol (1996) argued that inclusive institutions would
generate productive entrepreneurship and extractive institutions would
generate unproductive and destructive entrepreneurship. For instance,
during 17th-18th centuries, Colombian municipalities wherein an
extractive institution such as slavery was intensively enforced,
continue to experience, until recent years, increased poverty reduced
school enrolment, low vaccination coverage, and reduced provision of
public goods (Acemoglu et al. 2012). Second, Collier and Hoeffler (2004)
and Koubi et al. (2014) stated that the availability of renewable and
non-renewable resources in a given territory has more explanatory power
to determine the causes of civil wars, than grievances (e.g. inequality
lack of political rights, or ethnic and religious divisions).
Nevertheless, illegal armed groups in Colombia (e.g. Fuerzas Armadas
Revolucionarias de Colombia [FARC] or Ejercito de Liberacion Nacional
[ELN]) emerged due to grievances caused by extractive institutions, such
as restricted political participation (Nasi 2012). Until today the
effects of the armed conflict in Colombian people have been devastating:
218,094 deaths; 27,023 kidnappings; 1,982 massacres; and 6.9 million
internally displaced persons {Centro Nacional de Memoria Historica
[National Center of'History and Memory] 2013, UNHCR 2016).
In spite of those events, the days to come may hold a brighter but
complex future though. Colombian government and the FARC, the oldest
guerrilla movement in the continent, signed a peace agreement after more
than four years of negotiation; but Colombian voters rej ected the
referendum for peace which was proposed by the government to pursue
citizens' endorsement. Currently, both government and congress are
discussing strategies to enforce the peace agreement through afast-track
mechanism. As noted, peace-making, peacekeeping,
andpeace-buildingprocesses as everlasting and collective work in
progress towards a desired future, are complex (Boutros-Ghali 1992,
Lederach 1997) and need to include factors such as institutions and
productive entrepreneurship (Lederach 1997, International Alert 2006,
Mehlum et al. 2006) as crucial conditions to strengthen both
peacebuilding processes and long-term growth (Rettberg et al. 2011).
To contribute to this historical moment from an empirical approach,
the purpose of this study is to conduct a diagnosis in which
institutional strength, peacebuilding and productive entrepreneurship
are discussed 1) individually by means of a performance ranking on each
topic, and 2) jointly by means of correlations. Also, this study aims to
enrich the resources available for practitioners and scholars interested
in key topics for (post)conflict countries/territories. To achieve this,
three composite indices were constructed based upon international
assessments or seminal studies, namely: 1) Institutional Strength Index;
2) Peace Building Index; and 3) Productive Entrepreneurship Index. After
this introduction, we present an illustrative literature review. Next,
the methodological strategy to elaborate the indices is presented. Then,
the results are reported. Finally, the conclusions and limitations of
the study are discussed.
1. Literature review
Colombian armed-conflict has been intensively studied by local and
international scholars, national and international NGOs, multilateral
organisms, and the Colombian state itself. The following review is based
upon peer-reviewed articles and technical reports. The
interlocking-dialogue between institutions, peacebuilding and
entrepreneurship fields in Colombia, have been both interdisciplinary
and fertile. First, in the field of institutions, studies have analyzed
1) the relationship between Colombian economic elites and the two most
dominant parties (i.e. Liberal and Conservador) and how they influenced
both the doctrine and behavior of the armed forces and the policy making
processes in the 1980s and 1990s (Aviles 2001); and 2) the quality of
preexisting local institutions and their influence in both
collective-resistance civilians and bargaining power to push back the
expansion of armed actors in civil war times (Arjona 2016). Second, in
both conflict and peacebuilding fields, a prolific literature have
focused on studying 3) the role of NGOs in supporting resistance to
violence and oppression (Alther 2006); 4) the role of the state in the
peace and paramilitary demobilization processes (Boudon 1996, Maher and
Thomson 2011); 5) the understanding of peace by young and adult men and
women (Sacipa et al. 2006), the negative effects of conflict in young
people (Berents 2014) and children's rights (Cameron 2000, Cook et
al. 2017); 6) the effects caused by the mining sector in both insecurity
and human rights violations (McNeish 2017); 7) community peace
initiatives (Uraba (Burnyeat 2013), San Josede Apartado (Naucke 2017),
Samaniego and Las Mercedes (Idler et al. 2015)); and 8) peace and
education (Diazgranados et al. 2014, Gomez-Suarez 2017). And third, in
the field of entrepreneurship, researchers have analyzed 9) the role of
innovative entrepreneurship in Colombian business cycles (Aparicio et
al. 2016); 10) the effect of middle class entrepreneurship and income
mobility (Mejia 2014); 12) the effect of social capital in incubating
firms (Castro et al. 2014); and 13) the causal effect of armed-conflict
on firms exit (Camacho and Rodriguez 2012). Additionally, there are
several technical reports at the departmental level related to
institutions (e.g. Transparencia por Colombia [Transparency for
Colombia] 2004, 2005, 2008, 20013, 2015), peacebuilding and armed
conflict (e.g. Departamento Nacional de Planeacion DNP [National
Planning Department] 2008-2016) and entrepreneurship (e.g. Global
Entrepreneurship Monitor [GEM] 2010a, 2010b, 2010c, 2010d, 2010e,
2010f). Yet each field has been analyzed and discussed independently, a
discontinuation that we addressed in the following sections.
2. Methodology
2.1. Sample
The sample consists in 23 out of 32 Colombian departments due to
data availability, namely: complete information for the construction of
using recent data. However, the sample represents more than 95% of the
national Gross Domestic Product (GDP), 93% of the national population,
93% of the municipalities, and 66% of the national territory (Figure 1).
In terms of political entity characterization, a department in Colombia
is equivalent to a state in the United States of America, comparatively
speaking. Table 1 presents the sample of departments, population, GDP in
pesos colombianos (Colombian peso: COPS) and GDP per capita (GDP-PC).
The data used in this study is available in the following link
https://goo.gl/uAN7sW or QR code.
2.2. Institutional Strength Index - ISI
Institutions are inclusive or extractive rules/norms that shape
social, political, and economical interactions. The underlining
definition of inclusive institutions has several similarities with the
governance concept proposed by the United Nations and the World
Bank's Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI). The United Nations
define governance as:
"[...] the degree in which a country's institutions and processes are
transparent. Its institutions refer to such bodies as parliament and
its various ministries. Its processes include such key activities as
elections and legal procedures, which must be seen to be free of
corruption and accountable to the people. A country's success in
achieving this standard has become a key measure of its credibility and
respect in the world' (United Nations n.d.).
The WGI assesed individual governance indicators for 215 economies
over the period 1996-2014 (Langbein and Knack 2010, World Bank 2002).
The World Bank elaborates six indices on six dimensions (Table 2).
This data is not available for Colombia at the departmental level.
Hence, to construct the Institutional Strength Index (ISI) two data
sources were considered for each dimension, namely: 1) Departmental
Transparency Index (DTI) and 2) Departmental Competitiveness Index
(DCI). First, the DTI is a report published by Transparency for
Colombia, the national chapter of Transparency International. The DTI
uses two data sources:
- Primary: 1) on-line survey filled by public servants; 2)
monitoring and analyses to public entities websites and 3) practice
drills by public entities on right of petition and call-centers
requests.
- Secondary: information requested directly to national public
entities by Transparency for Colombia.
First, the DTI aims to increase the prevention of corruption in the
public sector based on three factors (Transparency for Colombia 2015):
1) visibility, 2) institutional strength, and 3) control and sanction. A
reflection was expected (i.e. equivalence) of three out of six WGIs by
the DTI, respectively: 1) voice and accountability, 2) government
effectiveness, and 3) control of corruption.
Second, the DCI aims to facilitate prioritization and formulation
of productivity and development policies and to deliver evidence for
decision-making processes in both public and private sectors (Centro de
Pensamiento en Estrategias Competitivas [Think-Tank for Competitive
Strategies] -CEPEC and Consejo Privado de Competitividad [Private
Competitiveness Council] - CPC 2014). The DCI uses the same methodology
as the World Economic Forum's (WEF) Global Competitiveness Index
(GCI). The WEF defines competitiveness as: "[T]he set of
institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of
productivity of a country" (Global Competitiveness Report 2010
chapter 1.1, p. 4). The DCI uses, among other, secondary data, reports,
and development plans, that are available in public entities, private
associations and national NGOs websites. Two sub-domains of the DCI were
considered to reflect the last three WGI dimensions: 1) institutions and
2) market efficiency. The sub-domain of institutions reflects the WGI
on: 1) rule of law and 2) political stability and absence of
violence/terrorism. The sub-domain of rule of law reflects the WGI on 3)
regulatory quality.
Table 3 summarizes the WGI, the DTI, and the DCI components used to
construct the ISI. Both DTI and DCI components have multiple
indicators/measures. The sources of those indicators/measures are the
same as mentioned above.
The following process was conducted for the ISI calculation:
- DTI: this index was configured on a scale of 0 to 100 (100 as the
highest transparency score). It was divided by ten in order to
homogenize the score with the DCI scale, which was also configured in a
scale of Oto 10.
- DCI: this index and its indicators and measures were configured
on a scale of 0 to 10.
- Weight: there are six WGIs. Equal weight was assigned to each
dimension (1/6 each):
- As for the DTI, it reflects three of six dimensions, thus 50 %
weight.
- As for the security and justice indicator, it reflects two
dimensions, thus 33% weight.
- As for the market efficiency, it reflects one dimension, thus 17%
weight.
Variables standardization: max-min standardization was implemented.
This standardization allows keeping relative distance from each
department. It was configured in a scale of 0 to 10 (10 as the highest
institutional strength). The max-min standardization was calculated as
follows:
Institutional Strenght Index = [mathematical expression not
reproducible] (1)
Table 4 presents the ISI.
Caldas, Santander, Antioquia, Risaralda, and Tolima, were the top
five departments with the highest ISI score (black colored). All located
in the Andean region. The bottom five departments were Choco, Caqueta,
Putumayo, Guajira, and Sucre (grey colored). The average score is 6.47,
thus, nine departments of the sample (39%) were below this score.
2.3. Building Peace Index - BPI
Peacebuilding processes could be understood as the "supportive
foundation for sustaining the transformation from the existing reality
to redefined relationships in a commonly defined future" (Lederach
1997: 117). A simple but restricted definition of peace is the absence
of war (Institute for Economics and Peace 2015). Although peace-studies
pioneer Johan Galtung (1969) distinguished two extended concepts of
peace: negative peace and positive peace (Figure 2). Negative peace
refers to the absence of personal violence (Ho 2007). Positive peace
refers to the absence of structural and cultural violence, understood as
the structural disparities for the individuals' potential to
fulfill their own basic needs and their actual fulfillment (i.e.
inequality, poverty, access to public goods) (Ho 2007).
It is feasible to recognize, partly, the negative peace as the
absence of organized violence. According to Wallensteen (Red Cross 2009)
and Collier and Hoeffler (2004), there are four types of organized
violence:
- Civil war (state-based): An internal conflict with at least 1.000
combat-related deaths per year. Both government forces and an
identifiable rebel organization suffer at least 5% of these fatalities.
- Armed conflict (state-based): "the contested incompatibility
that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force
between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state,
results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year"
(e.g. Colombian state vs. FARC and ELN) (Department of Peace and
Conflict Research 2014).
- Non-state conflict (non-state): "the use of armed force
between two organized armed groups, neither of which is the government
of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a
year" (e.g. War between drug-cartels) (Department of Peace and
Conflict Research 2014).
- One-sided conflict (one-sided): "the use of armed force by
the government of a state or by a formally organized group against
civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year" (e.g.
Falsos positivos) (Department of Peace and Conflict Research 2014).
Considering the definitions above, five measurements for the Peace
Building Index (PBI) were considered. Table 5 presents the events and
the corresponding definitions in the Colombian setting.
The majority of organized violence events affect rural areas. Other
categories of personal violence and insecurity events caused by
organized/common crime, sexual abuse, and domestic violence for both
urban and rural contexts should be considered. Table 6 shows additional
events considered for the BPI. At first glance, it would be feasible to
associate the events and definitions in Table 5 with the negative peace
concept. The events in Table 6 are related to positive peace,
considering that Ching-Chi and Pugh (1993) meta-analysis established a
strong association between poverty and income inequality (i.e. forms of
structural violence) and violent crime (e.g. homicide, assault, rape,
and robbery). Events and measures in Table 5 were used to construct the
Negative Peace Index (NPI), whilst events and measures in Table 6 were
used to construct the Positive Peace Index (PPI). The PBI is the sum of
both indices, 50% each.
The following process was conducted to calculate the NPI:
- Measures related to number of terrorist attacks, people displaced
by violence, deaths in conflict-related events, selected homicides, and
massacres for each department were consulted. The sources were the
National Center of History and Memory (terrorist attacks, deaths in
conflict-related events, selected homicides, and massacres) for 2012,
and Unidad de Victimas (National Victims Unit) (people displaced by
violence) for 2014.
- Variables standardization: each measure was standardized into a
100.000/habitants scale accordingto the following formula:
[mathematical expression not reproducible]. (2)
Source: Crime and violence indicators of the Organization of
American States 2011.
- Variables standardization: inversed max-min standardization was
implemented. This standardization allows keeping relative distance from
each department. It was configured in a scale of 0 to 10. Inversed
max-min standardization was calculated as follows:
[mathematical expression not reproducible] (3)
- Weight: five events were considered. Equal weight was assigned to
each dimension (1/5 each).
- Variables standardization: after the weighted sum of each max-min
standardized negative peace measure max-min standardization was
implemented (as in Equation 1).
Table 7 shows the NPI.
Atlantico, Boyaca, Caldas, Cundinamarca and Bogota, and Sucre were
the top five departments with the highest NPI score. The bottom five
departments were Narino, Meta, Caqueta, Choco, and Norte de Santander.
The average score is 7.4, thus, eight departments of the sample (34%)
were below this score.
The following process was conducted to calculate the PPI:
- Measures related to bank robbery, automobile robbery, cell-phone
robbery, theft to commercial establishments, assaults, residential
burglary and theft, sexual assault, and domestic violence were consulted
for each department. The source was the National Ministry of Defense and
National Police for 2014.
- Each measure was standardized into 100,000/inhabitants scale (2).
- Variables standardization: inversed max-min standardization was
implemented. It was configured in a scale of O to 10 (3).
- Weight: eight events were considered. Equal weight was assigned
to each dimension (1/8 each).
- Variables standardization: after the weighted sum of each
inversed max-min, max-min standardization was implemented (1).
Table 8 shows the PPI calculation.
Huila, Bolivar, Cordoba, Narino, and Putumayo were the top five
departments with the highest PPI score. The bottom five departments were
Meta, Risaralda, Quindio, and Guajira. The average score is 6.72, thus,
nine departments of the sample (39%) were below this score. Table 9
presents the BPI. The following process was conducted to calculate the
BPI:
- Weighting: the BPI is the weighted sum of the NPI and the PPI.
Both were weighted as 50%.
- Variables standardization: max-min standardization was
implemented (1).
Huila, Cordoba, Bolivar, Cesar, and Caldas were the top five
departments with the highest PBI score. The bottom five departments were
Meta, Narino, Caqueta, Norte de Santander, and Guajira. The average
score is 7.13, thus, eleven departments of the sample (47%) were below
this score.
2.4. Productive Entrepreneurship Index - PEI
The concept of productive entrepreneurship was based on
Schumpeter's (1942) ideas. The key mechanism for economic
development is creative destruction. This process is both continuously
disturbed and boosted by the actions of entrepeneurs through new
combinations, such as: 1) the introduction of new products/services, or
its improvement in terms of quality, 2) a new production method, 3) new
markets, 4) new sources of suppliers, and 5) the (re)organization of an
industry. When it happens as a cascading process, thus, it generates
creative destruction (Klimek et al. 2012). Table 10 shows the two
measures considered to construct the Productive Entrepreneurship Index
(PEI), namely: employments/number of establishments; and sector
complexity.
The following process was conducted to calculate the PEI:
- Measures related with employment/number of establishments and
sector complexity were consulted for each department. The main source
was Datlas-Colombia for 2014.
- Variables standardization: max-min standardization was
implemented. It was configured in a scale of 0 to 10(1).
- Weight: two measures were considered. Equal weight was assigned
to each measure (1/2 each).
- Variables standardization: after the weighted sum of each
standardized max-min productive entrepreneurship measure, max-min
standardization was implemented (1).
Table 11 presents the PEI.
Cundinamarca and Bogota, Valle del Cauca, Antioquia, Atlantico, and
Bolivar were the top five departments with the highest PEL The bottom
five departments were Cesar, Caqueta, Magdalena, Sucre, and Guajira. The
average score is 2.94, thus, 15 departments of the sample (65%) were
below this score.
3. Results and discussion
Table 12 shows the correlation between the ISI, the BPI, and the
PEL
There was a significant correlation (p<0.05) between the ISI and
the PEL In a second look, population had a significant correlation
(p<0.01) with: 1) PEI; 2) GDP; 3) market efficiency (i.e. an ISI
sub-domain (Table 3)); and 4) measures considered for the PPI (i.e. bank
robbery, automobile robbery, cell-phone robbery, et seq.). In contrast,
the BPI showed no correlation with ISI or PEI.
As previously stated, Baumol (1996) and Acemoglu and Robinson
(2012) argued that inclusive institutions such as private property
rights and incentives for entrepreneurial activities boost long-term
growth. The strongest institutions were identified in the Andean region
departments, thus, institutional strength allocation is shaped as a
center-periphery structure. The causal effect is historical. For
instance, whilst in regions where extractive institutions (i.e. slavery)
were implemented centuries ago for minerals extraction (i.e. Pacific
region: Narino, Valle del Cauca, Cauca and Choco) currently disclose
high poverty and low school enrolment, vaccination coverage and public
goods provision (Acemoglu et al. 2012), regions with no mineral
abundance (e.g. Santander) had to bolster and incentivize other economic
activities such as the handicrafts sector (Cepeda and Meisel 2013).
Currently, Santander has the highest GDP per capita. The relationship
between institutions and entre-preneurship has also been discussed in
several transnational studies. Based on data from 42 countries, Estrin
and colleagues (2013) stated that growing entrepreneurs benefit from
property rights enforcement and a smaller government (i.e. absence of
cumbersome regulatory institutions that increase transaction cost), but
are constrained by corruption, an informal and extractive institution.
By studying high-impact Schumpeterian entrepreneurs, Henrekson and
Sanandaji (2014) argued that countries with higher income, higher trust,
lower taxes, more venture capital investment, and lower regulatory
burdens have higher rates of high-impact entrepreneurship. To our
knowledge, there are few studies on the relationship between
institutional strength and productive entrepreneurship in Colombia in
recent years (see Cepeda and Meisel (2013) and GEM 2013 for technical
reports). Therefore, we considered these findings as an exploratory
contribution to both fields.
Regarding the relationship between population and creative
destruction growth, Jones and Romer (2009) found that innovation as the
result of coming up with new ideas is proportional to population. Also,
Bettencourt et al. (2007) found a supralinear effect whereby newpatents
were granted in larger urban areas that show increasing returns due to
the creative thinking activity contrasted with the population size. In
Colombia, the top five departments with the highest population produced
84% of all the patents registered during 2005-2014 (Observatorio
Colombiano de Cienciay Tecnologia OCyT [Colombian Observatory of Science
and Technology] 2015). In the Colombian peer-reviewed literature, Galvis
(2015) recently found an association between demographic growth and
economic growth (i.e. savings: public goods, education, health and
sanitation) during 1985-2012. We added evidence to this discussion from
the productive entrepreneurship perspective (i.e. employments/number of
establishments, and sector complexity). Regarding the relationship
between population and crime, Bettencourt et al. (2010) found that
cities are the centers of innovation and wealth, but also, the centers
of crime, both approximately at the same degree (Goldstone 2002, Nolan
2004). In Colombia, the demographic and economic development previously
discussed by Galvis (2015) also came with the intensification of crime
in the main cities. As the urbanization process have not been organized
and millions of displaced persons have been migrating to cities, the
capacity of cities to keep up with an increasing demand for public
services, safety and formal economic opportunities for low-skilled
workforce, is insufficient (Gaviria and Pages 2002). We added evidence
to those claims by considering several modalities of crime and other
type of violence (i.e. sexual assaults and domestic violence).
Additionally, the data showed no correlation between BPI and ISI
nor PEI, which can be discussed in a more specific sense. For instance,
we found a negative (-0.2) nonsignificant correlation between the PPI
(one of the BPI components) and the PEI. Among the departments analyzed,
those of Guajira, Quindio, Risaralda, Santander and Meta scored among
the bottom five in the PPI. Four out of five of those same departments,
figured into the top ten of the PEI. Seeing that, those departments with
a higher rate of occurrence of events such as robbery, sexual assault
and domestic violence, also figured into the top ten of sector
complexity and job creation. Nevertheless, these observations were not
consistent with those previously stated on the relationship between
population and creative destruction (Bettencourt et al. 2010) given that
just Santander, with [approximately equal to]2 million inhabitants, was
above the population mean of [approximately equal to]1.9 million; the
population mean of the rest of departments mentioned in this instance
was just [approximately equal to]0.6 million.
Further studies would seek to: 1) conduct a deeper analysis on
historical background (i.e. longitudinal data) for each region; 2)
include all departments in the sample; and 3) consider other variables
to comprehend the intuitive but absent relationship between
institutional strength and peacebuilding, and peacebuilding and
productive entrepreneurship.
Conclusions
In Colombia, institutions have been historically extractive,
producing destructive entrepreneurship and armed conflict. In this
study, we conducted a multi-departmental diagnosis in which
institutional strength, peacebuilding and productive entrepreneurship
were conjointly discussed. The results showed a significant correlation
between institutional strength and productive entrepreneurship, and
between population and productive entrepreneurship, GDP, market
efficiency and measures contemplated in the PPI. Strong and inclusive
institutions encourage the creation of formal jobs property rights and
market efficiency. This was consistently found in departments from the
Andean region, where the majority of the main cities are located. New
opportunities in the main cities and armed conflict intensification
boosted rural-urban migration, but the inability of an organized city
planning constrains the public goods coverage and safety, and adequate
formal employment opportunities, as the organized/common crime is
searching for new members looking for every day essentials.
Beyond the findings supported by (inter)national peer-reviewed
literature and technical reports, this study: 1) contributes to the few
studies on the relationship between institutional quality and productive
entrepreneurship in recent years; and 2) added more detailed evidence
and support to the studies related to population and economic-innovation
development and population, crime and violence, in the Colombian
context.
Finally, as this exploratory analysis used composite indices and
correlations, results cannot be interpreted as cause-effect conclusions:
correlation does not imply causality. This limitation could be addressed
by solving problems related to reverse causality and omitted variable,
and gathering and discussing data produced from different disciplines
and methodologies to enrich comparative analyses.
Acknowledgments
Thanks to both reviewers and their suggestions to improve this
manuscript.
Funding
This study was not funded.
Contribution
This study was conducted by the lead-author himself.
Disclosure statement
The author have no conflict of interest to declare.
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Julian David CORTES-SANCHEZ
Universidad del Rosario, School of Management, Bogota, Colombia
E-mail:
[email protected]
Received 29 November 2017; accepted 06 March 2018
https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2018.10
Caption: Figure 1. Departments included in the sample (grey
colored)
Caption: Figure 2. Extended concepts of violence and peace (source:
Galtung 1969: 183)
Table 1. Sample of the department indication population, GDP, and GDP-PC
# Department Population GDP COP$
1 Antioquia 6,378,129 $92,714,000,000,000
2 Atlantico 2,431,994 $27,177,000,000,000
3 Bolivar 2,073,009 $30,875,000,000,000
4 Boyaca 1,274,619 $20,118,000,000,000
5 Caldas 986,044 $10,111,000,000,000
6 Caqueta 471,541 $3,203,000,000,000
7 Cesar 1,016,527 $12,924,000,000,000
8 Choco 495,158 $2,988,000,000,000
9 Cordoba 1,709,603 $12,135,000,000,000
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 10,415,887 $210,228,000,000,000
11 Huila 1,188,314 $12,976,000,000,000
12 Guajira 1,140,542 $7,749,000,000,000
13 Magdalena 1,247,529 $9,237,000,000,000
14 Meta 943,073 $40,899,000,000,000
15 Narino 1,722,947 $10,743,000,000,000
16 Norte de Santander 1,344,040 $11,447,000,000,000
17 Putumayo 345,204 $4,284,000,000,000
18 Quindio 562,118 $5,303,000,000,000
19 Risaralda 946,630 $10,123,000,000,000
20 Santander 2,051,022 $53,024,000,000,000
21 Sucre 843,203 $5,610,000,000,000
22 Tolima 1,404,255 $15,370,000,000,000
23 Valle del Cauca 4,566,894 $65,630,000,000,000
Mean 1,980,795 $29,342,086,957,000
SD 2,288,043 $45,372,387,813,000
Max 10,415,887 $210,228,000,000,000
Min 345,204 $2,988,000,000,000
# GDP-PC COP$
1 $14,536,000
2 $11,175,000
3 $14,894,000
4 $15,784,000
5 $10,254,000
6 $6,793,000
7 $12,714,000
8 $6,034,000
9 $7,098,000
10 $20,183,000
11 $10,920,000
12 $6,794,000
13 $7,404,000
14 $43,368,000
15 $6,235,000
16 $8,517,000
17 $12,410,000
18 $9,434,000
19 $10,694,000
20 $25,852,000
21 $6,653,000
22 $10,945,000
23 $14,371,000
$ 12,742,000
$ 8,226,000
$ 43,368,000
$ 6,034,000
Source: authors based on Datlas-Colombia 2014. The currency is peso
colombiano (Colombian peso): COP$ in current prices.
Table 2. WGI and definitions of its dimensions
Dimensions Definition
It captures perceptions of the
extent to which citizens are able to
participate in choosing their
Voice and Accountability Index government, as well as freedom of
expression, freedom of association,
and free media
Government Effectiveness Index It captures perceptions of the
quality of public services, the
quality of civil service and the
degree of its independence from
political pressures, the quality
of policy formulation and
implementation, and the credibility
of the government's commitment to
such policies
Control of Corruption Index It captures perceptions of the
extent to which public power is
exercised for private gain,
including both petty and grand
forms of corruption, as well as the
state "capture" by elites and
private interests
Rule of Law Index It captures perceptions of the
extent to which agents have
confidence in and abide by the rules
of society, and in particular the
quality of contract enforcement,
property rights, police, and the
courts, as well as the probability
of crime and violence
Political Stability and Absence of It captures perceptions of the
Violence/Terrorism Index likelihood of political instability
and/or politically-motivated
violence, including terrorism
Regulatory Quality Index It captures perceptions of a
government's ability to formulate
and implement sound policies and
regulations that permit and promote
private sector development
Source: author's based on The World Bank 2002.
Table 3. WGI and its equivalences on the DTI and DCI components used to
construct the ISI
WGI Source Factor-equivalent
Voice and
accountability Visibility
Government effecti- Institutional
veness DTI strength
Control of corruption Control and sanction
Sub-domain
Rule of law Institutions
Political stability and
absence of violence/
terrorism
DCI
Regulatory quality Market efficiency
WGI Indicator
Voice and Public information dissemination
accountability Public administration dissemination
Budget and financial information dissemination
Citizenship procedures and public services
dissemination
Government Anticorruption policies
effectiveness Planning management
Ethical behaviors policies
Hiring management
Human talent management
Control of corruption Fiscal control management
System of requests, complaints, claims and
suggestions
Accountability
Social control
Institutional control
Internal control
Indicator Measures
Homicides rate
Kidnapping rate
Extortion rate
Rule of law Judges/100.000 p.
Political stability Security and justice Justice efficiency
and absence of Judges productivity
violence/terrorism Access to alternative
justice mechanism
Contract enforcement
facility
Goods market Commercial openness
efficiency Establishment taxes
Establishment start-up
facility
Number of yearly taxes
payment
Property registration
facility
Construction licenses
facility
Online licenses
Regulatory quality Labor formality
Labor participation
Labor market overall rate
efficiency Unemployment
Labor gender gap
Underemployment
Financial market Financial market
development coverage
Banking index
Insurance coverage
Saving accounts balance
WGI Weight in the DTI
Voice and
accountability 30%
Government
effectiveness
Control of corruption 30%
Weight in the DCI
Rule of law
Political stability 20%
and absence of
violence/terrorism
Regulatory quality 50%
Source: author's based on CEPEC and CPC 2014, Transparency for Colombia
2015, The World Bank 2002.
Table 4. Calculation of the ISI
# Departments VA-GE-CC (*) (50%) RL & PS-AV (**) (33%)
1 Antioquia 8,24 5,19
2 Atlantico 5,73 4,69
3 Bolivar 5,86 4,16
4 Boyaca 7,11 5,35
5 Caldas 7,57 7,00
6 Caqueta 3,70 3,81
7 Cesar 5,78 5,88
8 Choco 3,10 2,87
9 Cordoba 6,11 5,06
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 7,20 4,91
11 Huila 6,55 5,05
12 La Guajira 3,98 3,72
13 Magdalena 5,32 4,91
14 Meta 7,48 4,87
15 Narino 6,40 6,58
16 Norte de Santander 6,95 4,51
17 Putumayo 4,27 3,41
18 Quindio 7,35 5,70
19 Risaralda 7,34 6,30
20 Santander 8,12 5,64
21 Sucre 4,97 5,76
22 Tolima 7,35 5,75
23 Valle del Cauca 7,44 3,87
# RQ (***) (17%) Scores weighted ISI
1 5,01 6,69 9,49
2 3,84 5,07 5,60
3 3,54 4,91 5,21
4 4,22 6,04 7,94
5 4,67 6,90 10,00
6 2,79 3,59 2,03
7 3,54 5,44 6,49
8 1,42 2,74 0,00
9 3,39 5,31 6,17
10 6,30 6,28 8,52
11 3,53 5,55 6,75
12 4,14 3,92 2,83
13 3,79 4,93 5,26
14 3,96 6,02 7,90
15 3,16 5,92 7,65
16 2,99 5,48 6,58
17 2,91 3,76 2,44
18 4,04 6,25 8,44
19 4,68 6,55 9,16
20 5,11 6,79 9,75
21 2,70 4,86 5,08
22 4,40 6,33 8,62
23 3,60 5,61 6,90
Min: 2,7
Max: 6,9
Notes: (*) Voice and accountability, government effectiveness, control
of corruption, (**) Rule of law, political, stability and absence of
violence/terrorism, (***) Regulatory quality
Source: authors based on World Bank 2002, CEPEC and CPC 2014.
Table 5. PBI- Events and Definitions - I
Events Definition
Terrorist attacks Random attacks using explosives against public
spaces with a high devastation or lethality
potential.
"All people forced to migrate within the national
territory, abandoning their place of residence or
habitual
[...] economic activities because their lives,
physical integrity, security, or personal freedom
have been made
Internally vulnerable or were directly threatened due to any
displaced of the following situations: internal armed
by violence conflict, internal disturbances and tensions,
generalized violence,massive human rights
violations, infractions of international
humanitarian law, or other circumstances emanating
from the abovementioned situations that cause
potential or actual drastic alterations in public
order" (National Congress 1997)
Deaths in conflict- Civilians and combatants killed in conflict
related events actions caused by the violation of the principle
of proportionality in the use of force, the use
of illicit means and methodologies, and the
prevalence oi military necessity over the
humanitarian principle.
Selected homicides Intended homicide of three individuals or fewer in
defenseless conditions by actors of the armed
conflict occurred at the same time, in the same
place, and following the same procedures
Massacres Intended homicide of at least four individuals in
defenseless conditions by actors of the armed
conflict occurred at the same time, in the same
place, and following the same procedures. These
homicides are executed in the presence of others
as a terror act
Source: author's based on data of National Center of History and Memory
2013, Congreso Nacional de la Republica de Colombia [National Congress]
1997.
Table 6. PBI - Events II
Events
Bank robbery
Automobile robbery
Cell-phone robbery
Theft to commercial establishments
Assaults
Residential burglary
Sexual assault
Domestic violence
Source: author's based on information of the National Ministry of
Defense and National Police 2014.
Table 7. Calculation of the NPI
l# Depart- Total
ments T (*) D (**) Dth (***) H (****) M (*****) T
1 Antioquia 85 30.967 2 15 15 85
2 Atlantico 2 819 0 1 0 2
3 Bolivar 8 8.248 1 14 0 8
4 Boyaca 3 635 0 2 0 3
5 Caldas 4 1.258 0 1 0 4
6 Caqueta 28 13.756 6 2 0 28
7 Cesar 9 3.949 0 1 0 9
8 Choco 18 16.633 0 10 0 18
9 Cordoba 0 10.059 0 5 0 0
Cundina-
10 marca & 9 1.842 0 3 0 9
Bogota
11 Huua 4 8.622 0 3 0 4
12 La Guajira 45 4.079 0 3 0 45
13 Magdalena 3 7.334 0 1 0 3
14 Meta 62 4.548 0 25 4 62
15 Narino 70 32.181 3 36 9 70
Norte de
16 Santander 55 8.743 1 36 0 55
17 Putumayo 76 7.924 0 0 0 76
18 Quin dio 1 807 0 3 0 1
19 Risaralda 0 1.838 0 3 0 0
20 Santander 3 2.030 0 14 0 3
21 Sucre 0 2.611 0 1 0 0
22 Tolima 13 10.923 0 1 0 13
Valle del
23 Cauca 16 59.074 0 4 8 16
Min 0
Max 85
Inversed max-min
l# 100.000/habs. standardized (1/5 eatch) Weigh- NPI
D Dth H M T D Dth H M ted
1 485,5 0 0,2 0,2 0 8,6 9,8 9,1 5,5 6,6 4,9
2 33,7 0 0 0 9,8 10 10 9,8 10 9,9 10
3 397,9 0 0,7 0 9,1 8,9 9,6 7,5 10 9 8,6
4 49,8 0 0,2 0 9,6 9,9 10 9,4 10 9,8 9,8
5 127,6 0 0,1 0 9,5 9,7 10 9,6 10 9,8 9,8
6 2.917,20 1,3 0,4 0 6,7 1,3 0 8,4 10 5,3 2,9
7 388,5 0 0,1 0 8,9 8,9 10 9,6 10 9,5 9,4
8 3.359,10 0 2 0 7,9 0 10 2,5 10 6,1 4,1
9 588,4 0 0,3 0 10 8,3 10 8,9 10 9,4 9,3
9,8
10 17,7 0 0 0 8,9 10 10 9,9 10 9,8
11 725,6 0 0,3 0 9,5 7,9 10 9,1 10 9,3 9
12 357,6 0 0,3 0 4,7 9 10 9 10 8,5 7,9
13 587,9 0 0,1 0 9,6 8,3 10 9,7 10 9,5 9,4
14 482,3 0 2,7 0,4 2,7 8,6 10 0,1 1,9 4,7 1,9
15 1.867,80 0,2 2,1 0,5 1,8 4,5 8,6 2,2 0 3,4 0
16 650,5 0,1 2,7 0 3,5 8,1 9,4 0 10 6,2 4,3
17 2.295,50 0 0 0 1,1 3,2 10 10 10 6,8 5,3
18 143,6 0 0,5 0 9,9 9,6 10 8 10 9,5 9,4
19 194,2 0 0,3 0 10 9,5 10 8,8 10 9,7 9,6
20 99 0 0,7 0 9,6 9,8 10 7,5 10 9,4 9,2
21 309,7 0 0,1 0 10 9,1 10 9,6 10 9,7 9,7
22 777,9 0 0,1 0 8,5 7,7 10 9,7 10 9,2 8,9
23 1.293,50 0 0,1 0,2 8,1 6,2 10 9,7 6,6 8,1 7,2
17,7 0 0 0 Min 3,4
3.359,1 1,3 2,7 0,5 Max 9,9
Notes: (*) T: Terrorist attacks, (**) D: Displaced by violence, (***)
Dth: Deaths in conflict-related events, (****) H: Selected homicides
(#victims), (*****) M: Massacres (#victims).
Source: author's based on data from National Center of History and
Memory 2013, National Victims Unit 2014, Departamento Administrativo
Nacional de Estadistica DANE [National Statistics Department] 2014.
Table 8. PPI Calculation
Inversed min-max standardized (1/8
each)
BR (*) AR (**) CR (***) CER (****)
1 Antioquia 8,03 3,73 7,29 7,1
2 Atlantico 0,31 6,55 2,41 7,71
3 Bolivar 6,21 9,64 7,82 8,56
4 Boyaca 7,53 9,48 7,15 6,46
5 Caldas 10 9,15 4,77 9,02
6 Caqueta 10 9,38 4,62 4,75
7 Cesar 6,91 6,74 6,76 7,91
8 Choco 10 10 7,32 10
9 Cordoba 7,24 9,71 7,8 7,78
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 3,51 4,32 5,45 4,65
11 Huila 10 10 10 9,04
12 La Guajira 5,87 9,12 3,41 5,58
13 Magdalena 7,48 9,51 5,1 5,99
14 Meta 0 8,31 0 1,97
15 Narino 9,09 6,77 7,25 9,07
16 Norte de Santander 10 7,39 7,37 6,91
17 Putumayo 10 9,5 6,98 7,43
18 Quindio 7,2 8,12 0,16 1,77
19 Risaralda 6,68 7,23 4,64 0
20 Santander 8,47 9,44 4,17 5,5
21 Sucre 8,14 9,77 2,58 8,92
22 Tolima 8,88 8,81 4,37 4,82
23 Valle del Cauca 7,93 0 4,56 6,7
Inversed min-max standardized (1/8
each)
HR (^^) SA (^^^) DV (^^^^) Weighted
1 Antioquia 9,74 9,89 7,27 7,55
2 Atlantico 8,91 5,04 7,25 5,23
3 Bolivar 9,97 8,87 8,84 8,59
4 Boyaca 6,01 6,26 3,03 6,47
5 Caldas 8,31 6,05 8,37 7,33
6 Caqueta 3,69 6,89 7,02 6,43
7 Cesar 8,78 10 10 7,76
8 Choco 4,08 5,44 9,21 7,96
9 Cordoba 8,8 8,28 9,3 8,37
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 7,08 9,88 6,61 5,4
11 Huila 10 0,8 8,97 8,6
12 La Guajira 3,98 0,03 3,48 4,36
13 Magdalena 8,52 6,95 7,62 7,33
14 Meta 0 0,02 2,79 1,64
15 Narino 9,37 8,46 8,66 8,21
16 Norte de Santander 8,59 4,36 1,98 6,67
17 Putumayo 7,59 4,83 8,54 7,98
18 Quindio 0,64 4,57 9,11 3,96
19 Risaralda 5,49 0 0,93 3,4
20 Santander 6,65 0,66 0 4,51
21 Sucre 7,5 4,2 7,83 6,56
22 Tolima 4,15 7,61 6,4 6,17
23 Valle del Cauca 8,39 4,21 5,04 4,81
Min 1,64
Max 8,6
Inversed min-max standardized (1/8
each)
PPI
1 Antioquia 8,49
2 Atlantico 5,16
3 Bolivar 9,99
4 Boyaca 6,94
5 Caldas 8,17
6 Caqueta 6,88
7 Cesar 8,78
8 Choco 9,08
9 Cordoba 9,66
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 5,41
11 Huila 10
12 La Guajira 3,92
13 Magdalena 8,17
14 Meta 0
15 Narino 9,43
16 Norte de Santander 7,23
17 Putumayo 9,11
18 Quindio 3,33
19 Risaralda 2,53
20 Santander 4,13
21 Sucre 7,07
22 Tolima 6,51
23 Valle del Cauca 4,56
Notes: (*) BR: Bank robbery, (**) AR: Automobile robbery, (***) CR:
Cell-phone robbery, (****) TCE: Theft to commercial -establishments,
A (^): assaults, RB (^^): Residential burglary, SA (^^^): Sexual
assault, DV (^^^): Domestic violence.
Sources: author's based on data of the National Ministry of Defense and
National Police 2014, DANE 2014.
Table 9. BPI Calculation
Weighted
# Departments PPI NPI (50% each) BPI
1 Antioquia 8,49 4,90 6,69 6,70
2 Atlantico 5,16 10,00 7,58 7,73
3 Bolivar 9,99 8,60 9,29 9,73
4 Boyaca 6,94 9,82 8,38 8,66
5 Caldas 8,17 9,77 8,97 9,36
6 Caqueta 6,88 2,89 4,88 4,58
7 Cesar 8,78 9,35 9,07 9,47
8 Choco 9,08 4,09 6,59 6,57
9 Cordoba 9,66 9,27 9,47 9,93
10 Cundinamarca 5,41 9,78 7,59 7,74
& Bogota
11 Huila 10,00 9,05 9,52 10,00
12 La Guajira 3,92 7,89 5,90 5,77
13 Magdalena 8,17 9,41 8,79 9,14
14 Meta 0,00 1,92 0,96 0,00
15 Narino 9,43 0,00 4,72 4,39
Norte de
16 Santander 7,23 4,30 5,77 5,61
17 Putumayo 9,11 5,29 7,20 7,28
18 Quin dio 3,33 9,37 6,35 6,29
19 Risaralda 2,53 9,61 6,07 5,97
20 Santander 4,13 9,17 6,65 6,64
21 Sucre 7,07 9,73 8,40 8.69
22 Tolima 6,51 8,88 7,69 7,86
23 Valle del Cauca 4,56 7,25 5,91 5,77
Min 0,96
Max 9,52
Source: author's based on the Negative Peace Index (Table 7) and the
Positive Peace Index (Table 8).
Table 10. The PEI: measures and definitions
Measurement Definition
The number of legal establishments registered
on the chambers of commerce is not a good
proxy of productive entrepreneurship. Among
other aspects, these establishments must
generate legal employment. Albeit, in several
departments a higher number of registered
Employments/Number of establishments generate less employment than
establishments expected (e.g. Cundinamarca and Bogota have
232.226 establishments while Valle del Cauca
has 65.000, although the employment/number
of establishments coefficient in Valle del
Cauca is 12.27 whilst in Cundinamarca and
Bogota it is 11.73).
Sector Complexity This index calculates the amount of
Index capabilities required by a specific sector to
operate. This measure considers all productive
sectors generating employment, included the
service and public sectors. A sector is
complex if it requires a high level of
productive know-how, where many individuals
with highly specialized knowledge work in
large companies. This index was proposed and
elaborated by Datlas-Colombia (2014)
Source: author's based on Datlas-Colombia 2014.
Table 11. Calculation of the PEI
Employment/ Sector Max-Min standardized
# Departments Establishments Complexity
Index Emp/Estab
1 Antioquia 11,58 0,81 8,81
2 Atlantico 10,22 0,54 6,44
3 Bolivar 9,95 0,48 5,97
4 Boyaca 6,63 0,45 0,20
5 Caldas 8,19 0,56 2,91
6 Caqueta 7,60 0,2 1,88
7 Cesar 7,72 0,18 2,09
8 Choco 10,66 0,14 7,21
9 Cordoba 7,56 0,25 1,83
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 11,73 0,84 9,06
11 Huila 7,76 0,28 2,16
12 La Guajira 8,58 0,18 3,59
13 Magdalena 7,26 0,23 1,29
14 Meta 9,98 0,25 6,02
15 Narino 8,10 0,25 2,75
16 Norte de Santander 6,51 0,36 0,00
17 Putumayo 9,52 0,19 5,22
18 Quin dio 8,13 0,37 2,81
19 Risaralda 8,05 0,57 2,67
20 Santander 7,65 0,45 1,97
21 Sucre 6,62 0,29 0,18
22 Tolima 6,66 0,31 0,26
23 Valle del Cauca 12,27 0,77 10
Max 12,27 0,84
Min 6,51 0,14
Max-Min standardized
# Departments Sector Complexity Weighted PEI
Index
1 Antioquia 9,57 14,48 9,57
2 Atlantico 5,71 9,43 5,66
3 Bolivar 4,86 8,34 4,82
4 Boyaca 4,43 5,03 2,25
5 Caldas 6,00 7,95 4,52
6 Caqueta 0,86 2,30 0,14
7 Cesar 0,57 2,12 0,00
8 Choco 0,00 4,10 1,54
9 Cordoba 1,57 2,98 0,67
10 Cundinamarca & Bogota 10,00 15,03 10
11 Huila 2,00 3,58 1,13
12 La Guajira 0,57 2,87 0,58
13 Magdalena 1,29 2,43 0,24
14 Meta 1,57 5,08 2,30
15 Narino 1,57 3,45 1,03
16 Norte de Santander 3,14 3,64 1,18
17 Putumayo 0,71 3,82 1,32
18 Quin dio 3,29 5,19 2,38
19 Risaralda 6,14 7,98 4,54
20 Santander 4,43 5,92 2,94
21 Sucre 2,14 2,73 0,48
22 Tolima 2,43 3,06 0,73
23 Valle del Cauca 9 14,50 9,59
Max Max 15,03
Min Min 2,12
Source: author's based on Datlas-Colombia 2014.
Table 12. Correlation between ISI, BPI, and PEI
Correlations
Indices Mean SD ISI BPI PEI
ISI 6,4 3 1
BPI 7,1 2 0,015 1
PEI 2,9 3 0,414 (*) -0,037 1
Source: authors calculated by means of SPSS.
Please Note: Illustration(s) are not available due to copyright
restrictions.
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