Does Globalisation Shape Income Inequality? Empirical Evidence from Selected Developing Countries.
Haq, Mirajul ; Badshah, Iftikhar ; Ahmad, Iftikhar 等
Does Globalisation Shape Income Inequality? Empirical Evidence from Selected Developing Countries.
As economies of the world are getting more and more interdependent,
hence, a large segment of economic literature investigated the impact of
globalisation on income inequality. However, the empirical
investigations on the impacts of globalisation on income distribution
are still inconclusive. Keeping in view the inconclusiveness, in this
study we investigated the relationship between globalisation and income
inequality using five different proxies of globalisation. The empirical
analysis estimates five empirical models by using a panel data approach
for a set of 44 developing countries spanning from 1980-2014.
Considering the nature of data set, the empirical estimation has been
carried out through GMM estimation technique. The findings of the study
reveal that overall globalisation cannot explain income inequality;
however, we found insights for the positive relationship between
economic globalisation and income inequality in the sample countries. In
addition, the findings of the study also indicate that average, and
effective tariff rates explain negatively income inequality in the
sample countries. Based on study findings, it is safely concluded that
economic globalisation and income inequality move parallel in the sample
countries.
JEL Classification: FOI, 015, F13, C23
Keywords: Globalisation, Income Inequality, Tariff Rates, Panel
Data
1. INTRODUCTION
1980s was the favourable era for trade liberalisation, as most of
the developing countries replaced its restrictive and import
substitution policies with export promotion and import liberalisation
policies. The primary objective of the developing countries was to
integrate with developed countries in order to enhance the pace of
economic growth through technological diffusion. As a result, in the
last decade of the 20th century (1990s) trade flows is significantly
increased, and the diffusion of technology is rapidly spread across the
globe. However, with the advent of World Trade Organisation (WTO),
globalisation and its impacts on income distribution got space as a
heated issue among economists and policy-makers. Despite the fact that,
the distributional impacts of globalisation is one of the appealing
research subjects, though empirical literature is still away from
consensus.
For instance, some studies have an optimistic view that
globalisation always-reducing income inequality in both developed and
developing countries. These studies [Deadroff and Stern (1994);
Sylwester (2005); Claessens and Perotti (2007)] among other argued that
the integration of developing economies with developed enhance exports
of developing countries, which increases economic growth, and therefore
improve distribution of income in the developing countries. These
studies also came with the conclusion that, in the presence of sound
financial institutions in developing countries, liberalisation of
capital account provides accessibility of the poor people to financial
resources. Accessibility to finance enhancing their capacity to invest
in human capital accumulation, hence income gap between skill and
unskilled labour is reducing. Some other studies, for instance Boltho
(1975) argue that because of moderately good governess Japan and South
Korea have achieved higher growth as a result of liberalised trade
policies without negative impact on the distribution of resource among
its recipients.
Some empirical studies came with pessimistic view, that
globalisation always widening income gap. These studies also justified
their claim in trade inflow, and argued that globalisation integrates
developing countries with developed countries as result in developing
countries flow of capital goods, machinery, and technology increases.
However, as, most of the developing countries have relatively scarcity
of skilled labours, as a result demand for skilled labours increase that
intern widen the wage gap increases between skilled and unskilled
workers [Basu and Guariglia (2007); Celik and Basdas (2010)].
Considering the negative impact of globalisation on distribution of
income in developing countries, Lundberg and Squire (2003) emphasised on
those trade liberalisation policies, which creates an employment
opportunity for the low-income class to mitigate the wage gap between
skilled and unskilled labours in the developing countries. Keeping in
view this inconclusiveness, in this study we investigated the
relationship between globalisation and income inequality using five
different proxies of globalisation.
In past a number of studies have been carried out on the
distributional impact of globalisation. However, most of the existing
studies analysed the impact of overall globalisation, or economic
globalisation. However, we believe that the distributional impact of
globalisation deserves further investigation. Hence, unlike previous
studies in this study we investigated the distributional impact of
globalisation more rigorously using five different proxies of
globalisation. (1) In this association an empirically analysis have been
carried out in case of 44 developing countries with time span from
1980-2014.
The remaining of the study is organised as follows. Section 2
presents some relevant literature on the topic. Section 3 consists of
methodology including empirical model, data, and data sources, sample,
and estimation technique. Section 4 comprises empirical analyses along
with robustness check. The study concludes with Section 5.
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
As this study is exploring the relationship between globalisation
and income inequality, hence this section of the study is devoted to
review the existing literatures that have linked globalisation with
income inequality. Studies on the link between globalisation and income
inequality broadly fall into three groups. First, studies that argued
for the negative effect of globalisation on income distribution. For
instance, in their standard trade model Stolper and Samuelson (1941)
showed that wage gap might reduce due to trade openness between skilled
and unskilled workers in the developing countries. The predication of
this standard trade model is empirically verified by some recent
studies, for instance, Reuveny and Li (2003); Grossman and
Rossi-Hansberg (2008) among others.
The earlier work of Stolper and Samuelson (1941); Rybczinsky
(1955); and Mundell (1957), hold the claim that trade openness prove
beneficial for income distribution in developing countries; as
developing countries have relatively abundant unskilled labour,
therefore its exports mostly embodied with labour intensive commodities
that in turn increase wages of unskilled labour.
With trade liberalisation policies, country can harvest the
potential gain of resource endowments. Such strategies may enhance pace
of economic growth that in turn decline the dispersion of unequal income
distribution in the developing countries. According to the findings of
Dollar and Kraay (2001a) in 1990s the average per capita income of the
liberalised developing countries increased by 5.0 percent, developed
countries by 2.2 percent, and developing countries that have not
liberalised is just increased by 1.4 percent. Similarly, in country
specific study Wei and Wu (2001) found that, most of the Chinese cities
participated in the liberalisation process in 1970s, therefore economy
become more integrated with the rest of world, as a result, income
inequality gap reduced significantly between rural-urban regions.
Besides, several studies Borjas and Ramey, (1994); Francois and
Nelson (1998) found that with expansion of trade, wage inequality
declined in the US economy. Whereas, number of studies found a
significant and positive relationship between openness and income
inequality in the developing countries such as Sachs and Shatz (1996);
Barro (2000); Lundberg and Squire (2003). These studies explained their
results in the growth and employment impact of globalisation, and argued
that trade liberalisation in developing countries enhanced pace of
economic growth and hence created employment opportunities. However,
they hypothesised that, as the benefits of economic growth are not
equally distributed, hence poor segment of population cannot get the
potential benefit of globalisation, as a result income gap between
skilled and unskilled labours has increased. The empirical findings of
Christiaensen, et al. (2002) and World Bank (2006) concluded that,
economic growth is further skewed due to openness, whereas, its benefits
has not been equally distributed within Sub-Saharan African countries.
Rising regional inequality within a nation is a serious concern to
quantify living standards among different regions in the world. Some
empirical studies showed a significant positive relationship between
trade openness and regional income inequality. For instance, in country
specific study Daumal (2013) found that, trade openness have a positive
impact on regional income inequality among the Indian states, whereas,
reduces regional inequality in case of Brazil. In addition, he found
that FDI inflows reduced regional income inequalities in both Indian and
Brazilian economies. Explaining the findings, he argued that as India
started trade liberalisation policies in mid 1980s, hence in the
post-liberalisation period (1991-2005), regional inequality increased
with the correlation coefficient is equal to 0.96. On the other hand,
Brazilian economy, trade openness reduced regional inequality in the
same period, which correlation coefficient is equal to -0.75. Kanbur and
Zhang (1999) of rising regional income inequality in China from 0.19 to
0.26 in the post liberalization period of 1985 to 1998 have obtained
almost similar results. Supplement Kanbur and Zhang (1999) findings
Cheng and Zhang (2002) argued that, income inequality is worsens in the
cross-sectional units of an Asian economies in case of China. In similar
line, Zhang and Zhang (2003) found that, trade liberalization improves
regional income inequality in China.
Furthermore, several studies found that, with globalisation wage
premium of skilled labour is growing faster than the premium of
unskilled workers in developing countries. For example, Robbins (1996)
estimated the effects of globalisation on worker wages premium in
Colombia with the time span from 1976-1994, and came with the conclusion
that wage dispersion has increased in liberalised eras as compared to
closed one. In addition, Robbins and Gindling (1999) found same results
in case of Costa Rica. Green, et al. (2001) examined that, on average,
openness has increased the return of high-skilled qualified workers.
Whereas, the opposite results obtained for the unskilled and
non-educated workers in case of Brazil. Similarly, Beyer, et al. (1999)
found a significant positive relationship between trade liberalisation
and wage premium of educated workers in Chile within the time span of
1960-1996.
A reasonable number of empirical studies have investigated the
relationship between globalisation and income distribution in case of
developed economies. For instance, Spilimbergo, et al. (1999) argued for
a positive relationship between trade openness and income inequality in
skill-abundant developed countries. In addition, several other studies
assert a significant positive relationship between trade liberalisation
and inequality in the developed countries [Borjas, et al. (1992); Levy
and Murnane (1992); Karoly and Klerman (1994); Pritchett (1997); Bernard
and Jensen (2000); Silva and Leichenko (2004)]. Atkinson (2003) in his
empirical analysis found that due to globalisation income inequalities
has increased in the OECD countries. Similarly, Dreher and Gaston (2008)
explored the relationship between globalisation and income inequality
using industrial wage inequality and household income inequality. Using
three measures of openness of the time span 1970-2000, they concluded
that income inequality increased in the OECD countries.
The empirical literature on the subject depicts a non-linear
relationship between globalisation and income distribution, for
instance, in country specific study Jalil (2012) find that in case of
China, at the start income inequality increases with the expense of
openness, however, it falls after a certain level of openness.
Similarly, using data set of 18 Latin American countries, Dodson and
Ramlogan (2009) argued for the inverted U-Shaped relationship between
trade openness and income inequality. Based on the study findings, they
concluded that along with liberalisation policies governments also have
to prompt the re-distribution policies, hence to mitigate the negative
effects of trade liberalisation on income distribution.
Some of the empirical evidence predicts a differential impact of
trade openness on wage inequality. For instance, Wood (1997) examined
that wage inequality is reduced from 1970s to 1980s in the East Asian
economies, because of trade liberalisation, which reduces the wage gap
between skilled and unskilled workers. Whereas, in case of Latin
American economies wage inequality is increased in 1990s. In addition,
some studies found an inconclusive relationship between globalisation
and income inequality. For example, Hennighausen (2014) examined the
relationship between trade openness and capital movements with income
inequality in OECD countries. The study found no evidences of the
correlation between openness and capital mobility. Similarly, Dollar and
Kraay (2001b) came with the conclusion that globalisation have no impact
on the income shares of the poorest quintiles in a cross-sectional
studies. Similarly, Higgins and Williamson (1999), Bowles (2001), and
Edwards (1997) used more sophisticated estimation techniques and came
with the conclusion that trade openness cannot explain income
inequality.
3. EMPIRICAL ANALYSES
Our objective is to analyse the income distributional effect of
globalisation. To meet the objective, we work with panel data set of 44
developing countries spanning from 1980-2014. We start our estimation
with the following base-line model.
INC[I.sub.it] = [[beta].sub.0] + [[beta].sub.1] G[B.sub.it] +
[[beta].sub.0] [X.sub.it] + [[mu].sub.i] + [v.sub.t] +
[[epsilon].sub.it] ... (1)
Income inequality INC[I.sub.it] is our dependent variable;
Globalisation (GBit) is our variable of interest that further classified
in five different variables namely, overall globalisation, economic
globalisation, trade openness, average tariff rate, and effective tariff
rate. [X.sub.it] is the vector of control variables namely, per capita
real GDP, dependency ratio, human capital, inflation rate and government
size. Whereas [[mu].sub.t] and [v.sub.t] denotes unobserved
cross-sectional and time specific effects respectively, t is the error
term.
3.2. Definition and Construction of Variables under Consideration
The dependent variable is income inequality, a number of methods
have been developed to measure income inequality. The one well standard
measure of income inequality is GINI Coefficient developed by Corrado
Gini (1912). The value of GINI coefficient lies between zero and one,
value closer to zero indicates equal distribution, whereas, value closer
to one indicates an unequal distribution of income. Most of the
empirical literature captured income inequality with GINI coefficient
and used the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS) data base of GINI
coefficient. However, this data set has two major limitations. First,
the dataset is just developed for thirty richest economies of the world;
second, the data set have a short time span that just start from 1990.
In this study, we used a SWIID income inequality data set, which
has created by Solt (2014). This data set have some advantage over LIS
data set. First, the data set is developed for a large number of
countries. Second, the data set have a long time span, last but not the
least, the data set is the comparison of different components of
inequality, hence it is very easy to check the robustness of three
different inequality approaches (consumption, income and gross income).
Among explanatory variables, the variable of interest is
globalisation, which defines as, "the integration of regional and
national economies across the boarders through economic, political,
social, and cultural changes, and with the exchange of goods, services
and capital with rest of the world economies". The index of overall
globalisation is the sub-index of economic, social, and political
globalisations. (2)
Whereas, the index of economic globalisation exhibits the economic
integration of the national economy with rest of the world through the
way of capital movements, technological spill over and exchange of goods
and services. The data of economic globalisation index is taken from the
KOF index of globalisation. (3) The two other proxies are average tariff
rate (AT[R.sub.it]) and effective tariff rate (ET[R.sub.it]) which are
the most prominent policy variables to measure the degree of openness.
The (AT[R.sub.it]) rate is usually using to represent the inflow of
imported goods. The received literature, for instance Dobson and
Ramlogan (2009) shows that, AT[R.sub.it] is relatively better measure of
openness then TOPE[N.sub.it], because, the trade ratio is highly
correlated with exchange rate, technological innovation and
macroeconomic fluctuations, data of average tariff rate is taken from
World Development Indicators (World Bank). (4)
Effective Tariff Rate (ET[R.sub.it]) is the ratio of tariff revenue
to total imports [Kanbur and Zhang (2005)], which measures complete
pattern of productivity in each industry. In addition, it measures the
overall effect of tariffs on value added per unit of output in each
industry, when both intermediate and final goods are imported. Along
with globalisation, we choose a set of control variables, keeping in
view its importance, as an income distribution determinant, and its
potential in the affecting of income distribution response of
globalisation. In control variables, we have economic growth that varies
both overtime and across countries. A number of studies have
investigated a significant and positive relationship between economic
growth and income inequality. They argued that, the benefits of an
increase in economic growth cannot receive by larger segments of the
population. In most of the developing economies, economic growth
stimulates income gap between rich and poor peoples [Bourguignon (1981);
Li and Zou (1998); Forbes (2000)]. Furthermore, several studies explored
a negative relationship between per capita GDP and income inequality
[Persson and Tabellini (1994); Glomm and Kaganovich (2008)]. In this
study, we use growth per capita real GDP instead of level of per capita
real GDP, as it is highly correlated with inflation and financial
development [Ang (2010)]. The data is taken from World Development
Indicator (WDI), of the World Bank.
Our next explanatory variable is dependency ratio, which includes
the number of population age is younger than 15 years and its age is
above 65 years. Population younger than 15 and above 65 is taken as a
percentage of working age population. Dependency ratio also varies both
overtime, and across countries. The data is taken from World Development
Indicator (WDI), of the World Bank. Inflation can be defined as the
persistence and continued increase in the general price level over the
period. A received literature Cutler and Katz (1992), and Clarke, et al.
(2006) signifies the positive impacts of inflation rate on income
inequality, and argued that higher inflation may decline real wages as a
result employment opportunity is created, which affect income
inequality. We used GDP deflator as a proxy of inflation, the data is
taken from (WDI), of the World Bank.
Human capital means level of education, job, and fitness expression
of workers [Salvatore (2011) p. 141], Broadly, human capital comprises
into four ingredients that embodied in human namely skill, experience,
education, and intelligence. In this study, we used secondary school
gross enrolment as a proxy of human capital. The variable size of
government represents an actual state of an economy. The government size
may affect income inequality with the allocation of public goods,
interference in the market place and redistributive expenditures
[Dreher, et al. (2008)]. The renewed literature Rudra (2004), Lim and
McNelis (2014) signifies the positive impact of government spending on
income inequality. In this study, we use government final consumption
expenditure as a proxy of government size.
3.3. Data and Data Sources
To examine the impact of globalisation on income inequality, we
used dataset of forty four developing countries spanning from 1980-2014.
(5) The data is collected from secondary sources, that average tariff
rate and effective tariff rate are taken from World Development
Indicator (WDI), of the World Bank. The data for economic globalisation
and overall globalisation are taken from KOF index of globalisation, (6)
and the GINI coefficient (income inequality) is from Standardised World
Income Inequality Database (SWIID), which is developed by Solt (2014).
3.4. Estimation Technique
As our data set is panel in nature, hence in the first stage
empirical model is estimated with pooled OLS. However, the results of
pooled OLS is inefficient as the null hypothesis of Breusch-Pagan (1979)
test [[delta].sub.u.sup.2]--0 cannot accepted for all specifications
indicates that intercept values are not remain the same across cross
section; (7) which directed us for Random Effect. Next, we applied the
Hausman (1978) test to make a choice between Random and Fixed effects.
The null hypothesis of Hausman test Ho"fixed, effects are not
efficient estimates". In all cases, the null hypothesis of Hausman
test is rejected, which indicate for fixed effects. (8) Next, we have
used Redundant Fixed Effects test to make a choice among cross section,
time effect and both cross section and time effects. In all three cases
the null hypothesis [H.sub.0]: "There is no fixed effect" is
rejected for all our specifications, which indicate the existence of
fixed effect. (9) The last but not the least, we applied the Serial
Correlation (LM)Test, as, the null hypothesis [H.sub.0]: "no serial
correlation" (10) is rejected in all specifications. Keeping in
view the results, we safely concluded that our model is dynamic in
nature; hence, we used the Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) developed
by Arellano and Bond (1991) to estimate our dynamic model of panel data.
In dynamic panel data models, GMM have some advantages over other
estimators. First, GMM allows estimation under those restrictions, which
are fully supported by the theory, hence supplementary assumption are
not required. Second, most of panel data set maintains serial
correlation, GMM taking into account the serial correlation. Third, GMM
provides efficient estimations even with additional moment conditions.
Fourth, GMM estimators control the unobserved effects through
differencing regression or instruments.
4. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS AND INTERPRETATION
The empirical findings have been carried out through GMM techniques
by using five different proxies of globalisation. The GMM estimator is
providing consistent and significant results in case of dynamic model.
As presented earlier that, we have five specifications which contains
different proxies of globalisation. In specification 1, the variable of
interest is overall globalisation (O[G.sub.it]) enters the model with
negative sign, which is not statistically significant. This may be due
to the reason that overall globalisation is the composite index of three
sub-indices economic, social and political globalisations. Among these,
social and political globalisations have less response to income
inequality. Our findings are in line with the findings of Bergh and
Nilsson (2010) that came up with the conclusion that political and
social globalisations cannot explain income distribution in the
developing countries.
In model (2), the overall globalisation is replaced with economic
globalisation (E[G.sub.it]), which enters the model with positive sign
that is statistically significant at one percent. The result indicates
that economic globalisation worsen the unequal distribution of income in
the selected developing countries. There are two possible
justifications. First, as developing countries enhance its trade ties
with developed one, as a result imports of capital goods (machinery, and
new technology) increases, that intern increase demand for skill labour
increased. However, as developing countries have abundant of unskilled
labours, hence large segment of labour force cannot harvest the benefit.
This result are in line with some of the existing studies [Gopinath and
Chen (20030; Lee, et al. (2006); Basu and Guariglia (2007); Celik and
Basdas (2010)]. Second, FDI flow to developing countries mostly
facilitated the capitalist and richest segment of population; hence a
large segment of population cannot harvest the potential gain of FDI.
The result is in line with the findings of IMF (2007), which lend
support to the claim that FDI increase income inequality as it support
richest class of the developing countries. The result is also supported
by the findings of Zhang and Zhang (2003) and Jaumotte, et al. (2013)
argued that, capital inflow into developing countries increase wage gap
between skilled and unskilled workers, as, developed countries mostly
invested FDI at high-skills sectors in the developing countries. (11)
In specification 3 (column 4) trade openness TOPENit hold positive
sign (0.004) signifying a positive impact of trade openness on income
inequality. This result is in line with previous empirical findings of
Marjit, et al. (2004), and Asteriou, et al. (2014). The following are
some possible justification of the result. Liberalisation of trade
provides opportunity to domestic manufacturing in international market,
hence to meet the requirements of international market demand
manufacturing sector of developing countries adopt international quality
standard in the manufacturing process, which increase demand for skilled
labour and therefore increases wages of skilled labour. (12)
In specifications 4 (column 5), and 5 (column 6) the variable of
interest globalisation is captured with average tariff rate
AT[R.sub.it], and effective rate ET[R.sub.it] respectively. Both
variables enter the models with negative signs (-0.046) and (-0.062)
respectively that are statistically significant. The results indicate
that, an increase in the tariff rates decline income inequality in the
developing countries. The one possible justification is that, an
increase in the tariff rates decline integration of developing countries
with rest of the world. The result supplements our previous findings
that economic globalisation and trade openness expand income inequality
in developing countries.
Moreover, when we compare the magnitude of estimated coefficients
of TOPE[N.sub.it] and AT[R.sub.it], the coefficient value of
TOPE[N.sub.it] is lower than AT[R.sub.it]. This result are in line with
some of the existing studies Edwards (1997); Higgins and Williamson
(1999); Ravallion (2001); Zhou, et al. (2011) explained that, as
TOPE[N.sub.it] is highly correlated with skill premium between skilled
and unskilled workers, hence not properly explain income inequality.
Almost our control variables appear in the base line specifications
with expected signs. For instance, growth of GDP per capita
(PCGD[P.sub.it]) holds positive sign and is statistically significant,
denoting it's worsen impact on income inequality. This may be due
to the fact that a large segment of population cannot harvest the
benefits of economic growth in developing countries. Theresults are in
line with previous findings of [Kaldor (1956); Bourguignon (1981); Li
and Zou (1998); Forbes (2000)]. (13)
The sign of our subsequent variable dependency ratio (AD[R.sub.it])
is positive, which is significant at one percent level in most of the
specifications, indicates that dependency ratio explain income
inequality positively. As the number of dependents in a household
increases, this will increase income gap between employed and unemployed
workers in the developing countries. Our findings are in line with the
empirical findings of Dreher, et al. (2008) and Bergh and Nilsson
(2010). Similarly, inflation holds positive sign that is significant at
one percent level in most of the specifications. Similar findings have
been carried out by [Cutler and Katz (1992); Clarke, et al. (2006)],
which show that, higher inflation negatively affect the distribution of
income in the developing countries. The monetary instability has an
adverse effect on income distribution, as higher inflation reduces real
wages that creates an employment opportunity.
Human capital (SSE[G.sub.it]) on the other hand carries a negative
coefficient which is significant at one percent level indicating their
positive impact on income inequality. Our findings are in line with the
empirical findings of Borensztein, et al. (1998); Ciaessens and Perotti
(2007) that found a negative relationship between investment in human
capital and income inequality. They argued that poor people got easy
accessibility to financial resources due to capital account
liberalisation, that intern enhancing their capacity to invest in human
capital accumulation. Gourdon, et al. (2008) came with the conclusion
that, economic globalisation declines income inequality in those
economies, which has at least primary educated labour force.
Similarly, Gregorio and Lee (2002) and Atif, et al. (2012) argued
that, public education expenditure is a prominent policy variable that
declines income gap. The finding of Wood (1997) and Bensidoun, et al.
(2011) indicated that, economies, which possess more educated labour
force, take more benefits from trade liberalisation and the most
important is the reduction of income inequality. Our findings are
positively signifying the impact of governments size ([EXP.sub.it]) on
income inequality in the developing countries. The following are some
possible justifications of the result. First, as specified by World Bank
(2006); Banerjee and Somanathan (2007); Khandker and Koolwal (2007),
that in developing countries large portion of public expenditure goes to
physical infrastructure, and telecom sector, which enhances the overall
pace of economic growth, however have worsened the income distribution.
Second, the result could also be justified with rent seeking environment
of developing countries as indicated by Rudra (2004) and Wong (2016).
To test the consistency of the estimators we apply three diagnostic
tests. First is the Shapiro-Wilk (1965) test of normality, which null
hypothesis is "data are normally distributed". Results of
Shapiro-Wilk test presented in Table 4.1 shows that in all
specifications the W statistics is positive and is closer to one
indicates that data is normally distributed. The second, test examines
whether the error term of our empirical model (Equation 1) is serially
correlated or not. Results presented in Table 4.1 indicate that the
P-value is greater than 0.05 in all specifications, hence the null
hypothesis "no serial correlation" is not rejected, which
support the dynamic nature of our model. Third, to check the validity of
instrumental variables we used the Sargan test. The P-values of Sargan
test is greater than 0.05 in all specification, hence, the null
hypothesis "over identifying restrictions are valid' is not
rejected, which indicates the validity of instrumental variables.
5. CONCLUSION
Rising income inequality in the developing countries through the
integration of world economies is a controversial issue since 1980s.
However; empirical evidence on the impact of globalisation on income
inequality is still inconclusive. Keeping in view the inconclusiveness,
in this study we revisit the basic question that "Does
globalisation shape income inequality in developing countries". In
this association, we used five different proxies of globalisation using
data set of 44 developing countries for the period 1980-2014.
Our empirical findings reveal that overall globalisation is not
associated with income inequality; however, economic globalisation has
worsened impact on income inequality. In addition, our estimates
indicate that, average and effective tariff rates improve income
distribution in the sample countries. Thus our results provides
evidences to the worsen impact of economic globalisation on income
inequality in the selected developing countries.
APPENDIX A
Table A1
Descriptive Statistics of Variables under Consideration
Variables Obs Mean Std. Dev Min Max
[INCI.sub.it] 1167 44.30 6.35 27.32 63.51
[PCGDP.sub.it] 1435 7.32 1.05 4.95 9.62
[ADR.sub.it] 1496 73.50 16.77 36.04 112.77
[INF.sub.it] 1448 16.64 27.7 -27.05 265.20
[HC.sub.it] 1055 54.973 25.37 5.12 109.62
[GSIZ.sub.it] 1422 12.935 4.34 2.05 31.82
[OG.sub.it] 1434 45.81 12.16 15.86 79.31
[EG.sub.it] 1434 45.63 15.17 9.75 85.15
[TOPEN.sub.it] 1403 63.41 33.95 13.18 199.36
[ATR.sub.it] 745 15.68 12.99 1.4 106.5
[ETR.sub.it] 550 11.39 4.99 1.39 28.98
APPENDIX B
Table B1
Pooled OLS Estimation Results
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
[PCGDP.sub.it] 1.87 *** 1.57 *** 2.06 ***
(5.85) (5.12) (4.73)
[ADR.sub.it] .090 *** .087 *** .063 **
(5.06) (5.06) (2.50)
[INF.sub.it] .026 *** .029 *** .055 **
(3.14) (3.51) (2.02)
[SSEG.sub.it] -.013 -.014 -.015 ***
(-1.34) (-1.52) (-1.17)
[EXP.sub.it] .289 *** .256 *** .387 ***
(5.04) (4.47) (4.26)
[OG.sub.it] .062 ** -- --
(2.21)
[EG.sub.it] -- .083 *** --
(4.32)
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- -- -.171 **
(-2.61)
[ATR.sub.it] -- -- --
[ETR.sub.it] -- -- --
BP test 31.42 37.76 4.38
Prob 0.00 0.00 0.036
No of Obs 759 759 308
SE of Reg .027 .019 .065
Variables Model 4 Model 5
[PCGDP.sub.it] 2.17 *** 2.06 ***
(6.25) (4.73)
[ADR.sub.it] .136 *** .063 **
(5.66) (2.50)
[INF.sub.it] .025 *** .055**
(2.67) (2.02)
[SSEG.sub.it] -.004 -.015
(-0.33) (-1.17)
[EXP.sub.it] .251 *** .387 ***
(3.11) (4.26)
[OG.sub.it] -- --
[EG.sub.it] -- --
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- --
[ATR.sub.it] -.059 ** --
(-2.53)
[ETR.sub.it] -- -.171 **
(-2.61)
BP test 7.24 4.38
Prob 0.007 0.036
No of Obs 411 308
SE of Reg .023 .065
Note: ***, **, * presents level of significance at 1 percent,
5 percent 10 percent respectively. The values of t-statistics
are in parenthesis. The dependent variable is income inequality.
Table B2
Fixed Effects Estimation Results
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
[PCGDP.sub.it] 8.18 *** 7.87 *** 7.181 **
(11.56) (12.34) (2.04)
[ADR.sub.it] 071 *** .079 *** .101
(3.15) (3.86) (1.58)
[INF.sub.it] .021 *** .029 *** .025 **
(3.74) (3.56) (2.55)
SSEGit -.015 -0.019 -0.025
(-1.01) (-1.41) (-0.39)
[EXP.sub.it] .121 ** .119 ** .111
(2.23) (2.21) (1.38)
[OG.sub.it] -.092 *** -- --
(-2.86)
[EG.sub.it] -- -0.089 *** --
(-3.59)
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- -- -.017
(-0.88)
[ATR.sub.it] -- -- -
[ETR.sub.it] -- -- --
BP test 31.42 37.76 23.40
P-values 0.00 0.00 0.00
No of Obs 759 759 759
SE of Reg 0.032 0.022 0.019
Hausman Test 33.33 35.06 46.06
P-values 0.00 0.00 0.00
Variables Model 4 Model 5
[PCGDP.sub.it] 5.54 *** -5.25 **
(7.22) (-2.31)
[ADR.sub.it] .055 ** .277 ***
(2.10) (4.30)
[INF.sub.it] .011 ** -.009
(2.18) (-0.47)
SSEGit -0.052 ** .007
(-2.39) (0.19)
[EXP.sub.it] .204 *** .429 ***
(3-25) (2.82)
[OG.sub.it] -- --
[EG.sub.it] -- --
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- --
[ATR.sub.it] -0.026 * --
(-1.87)
[ETR.sub.it] -- -0.187 ***
(-2.63)
BP test 7.24 4.38
P-values 0.007 0.03
No of Obs 411 178
SE of Reg 0.014 0.071
Hausman Test 12.81 21.07
P-values 0.04 0.001
Note: ***, **, * presents level of significance
at 1 percent, 5 percent 10 percent respectively.
The values of t-statistics are in parenthesis.
The dependent variable is income inequality.
Table B3
Random Effects Estimation Results
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
[PCGDP.sub.it] 5.92 *** 6.02 *** 5.33 ***
(10.04) (11.01) (9.74)
[ADR.sub.it] .084 *** .079 ***
(3.80) (3.98) (5.16)
[INF.sub.it] .019 *** .018 *** .023 ***
(3.54) (3.33) (4.25)
[SSEG.sub.it] -.004 -.003 -.003
(-0.28) (-0.23) (-0.26)
[EXP.sub.it] .092 * .096 * .099 *
(1.71) (1.80) (1.88)
[OG.sub.it] -.042 -- --
(-1.39)
[EG.sub.it] -- -.059 *** --
(-2.75)
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- -- -.007
(-0.82)
[ATR.sub.it] -- -- --
[ETR.sub.it] -- --
BP test 31.42 37.76 23.40
P-values 0.00 0.00 0.00
No of Obs 759 759 759
SE of Reg .031 .022 .008
Hausman Test 33.33 35.06 46.06
P-values 0.00 0.00 0.00
Variables Model 4 Model 5
[PCGDP.sub.it] 4.03 *** 3.64 ***
(6.43) (4.20)
[ADR.sub.it] .063 ** .183 ***
(2.51) (4.44)
[INF.sub.it] .011 ** .016
(2.08) (0.86)
[SSEG.sub.it] -.035 * .045 ***
(-1.80) (3.03)
[EXP.sub.it] .188 *** .093
(3.03) (1.04)
[OG.sub.it] -- --
[EG.sub.it] -- --
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- --
[ATR.sub.it] -.035 *** --
(-2.6)
[ETR.sub.it] -- -.052
(-0.90)
BP test 7.24 4.38
P-values 0.007 0.03
No of Obs 411 308
SE of Reg .013 .057
Hausman Test 12.81 21.07
P-values 0.04 0.001
Note: ***, **, * presents level of significance
at 1 percent, 5 percent 10 percent respectively.
The values of t-statistics are in parenthesis.
The dependent variable is income inequality.
APPENDIX C: SPECIFICATION TESTS RESULTS
Table C1
Bruesch and Pagan Test Results
H0: Constant Variance
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
[Chai.sup.2] 31.42 37.76 23.40 7.24 4.38
Probability 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.007 0.03
Table C2
Hausman Test Results
Null Hypothesis: Fixed-Effects are not effective estimates
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
[Chai.sup.2] 33.33 35.06 46.06 12.81 21.07
Values
P-Values 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.001
Table C3
Redundant Cross-Sectional Fixed Effects Test
Null Hypothesis: No Fixed Effects
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
F-Values 16.07 15.87 16.09 11.53 7.47
P-Values 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Table C4
Redundant Period Fixed Effects Test
Null Hypothesis: No Fixed Effects
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
F-Values 22.75 18.70 21.89 15.23 5.37
P-Values 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Table C5
Redundant Cross Sectional and Period Fixed Effects Test
Null Hypothesis: No Fixed Effects
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
F-Values 17.92 16.31 19.87 12.32 6.66
P-Values 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Table C6
Serial Correlation (LM) Test
H0: No First Order Autocorrelation
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
F 179.244 180.653 159.087 107.528 97.718
P-values 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
APPENDIX D
Table D1
List of Sampling Countries
Argentina Bangladesh Barbados Bolivia
Botswana Brazil Cameroon Chile
China Colombia Costa Rica Ecuador
Egypt, Arab Rep El Salvador Fiji Ghana
Guatemala Guyana Haiti Honduras
India Indonesia Iran, Islamic Rep Jamaica
Kenya Malaysia Mali Mexico
Mozambique Pakistan Panama Paraguay
Peru Philippines Senegal Sierra Leone
Sri Lanka Thailand Turkey Uganda
Uruguay Venezuela, RB Zambia Zimbabwe
Mirajul Haq <
[email protected]> is Assistant Professor,
International Institute of Islamic Economics, International Islamic
University, Islamabad. Iftikhar Badshah <ifitikhar.badshah@gmail
com> is MPhil scholar at International Institute of Islamic
Economics, International Islamic University Islamabad Iftikhar Ahmad
<
[email protected]> is Assistant Professor, Pakistan Institute
of Development'Economics Islamabad.
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(1) Five proxies of globalisation have been used; Overall
Globalisation, Economic Globalisation, Trade to GDP Ratio, Average
Tariff Rate, and Effective Tariff Rate.
(2) The detailed list of all variable is provided by Dreher, et al.
(2008).
(3) Available at http://globalization.kof.ethz.ch/query/
(4) http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSlTE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/0,,contentMDK:21051 044-pagePK:64214825-piPK:64214943-theSitePK:469382,00.html
(5) In Appendix D Table 1 presents the complete list of developing
countries.
(6) Available athttp://globalization.kof.ethz.ch/query/
(7) The results of Bruesch-Pagan specification test are presented
in Appendix "C" Table 1.
(8) The results of Hausman specification test is presented in
Appendix "C" Table 2.
(9) The results of Redundant Fixed Effects tests are presented in
Appendix "C" Tables 3, 4 and 5, which direct us for the
existence of fixed effects.
(10) In Appendix "C" Table 6 has the results of LM test,
which direct us the existence of serial correlation.
(11) For instance, several empirical studies [Kanbur and Zhang
(1999); Zhang and Kanbur (2001)] found that, economy of China is
liberalised in the decade of 1980s and become the second largest
recipients of FDI, whereas, income inequality is worsens since from the
last three decades. In this connection, Kratou and Goaied (2016) argued
that, globalisation provide more potential benefits to the rich class
instead of lower class in the developing countries.
(12) In similar lines, Zhu and Trefler (2005) found that, most of
the Latin American countries adopted export-led strategy in the decade
of 1980s, hence, export level and wage inequality move in the same
direction.
(13) In addition, Jalil (2012) argue that emerging economy of China
achieve higher economic growth in the South Asian region, whereas,
income inequality is increased with same proportion as with the increase
in economic growth.
Table 4.1
Empirical Findings (Dependent Variable is Income Inequality)
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
[PCGDP.sub.it] 1.11 1.20 1.00
(2.55) ** (2.59) ** (8.14) ***
[ADR.sub.it] .020 .028 .021
(3.12) *** (3.90) *** (1.31)
[INF.sub.it] .010 .011 .011
(11.79) *** (12.40) *** (8.64) ***
[SSEG.sub.it] -.003 -.009 -.018
(-1.86) * (-4.20) *** (-4.83) ***
[EXP.sub.it] -.026 -.018 .037
(-1.21) (-0.75) (1.45)
[OG.sub.it] -.007 -- --
(-1.61)
[EG.sub.it] -- .012 --
(4.06) ***
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- -- .004
(2.94) ***
[ATR.sub.it] -- -- --
[ETR.sub.it] -- -- --
Lag Dep .892 0.89 .741
(28.70) *** (25.09) *** (16.83) ***
No of Obs 490 490 583
Number of 41 41 71
Instruments
Shapiro Wilk Test 0.99 0.99 0.90
Serial 0.09 0.07 0.90
Correlation
Sargan Test 29.23 24.85 25.01
P-Value 0.70 0.845 0.84
Variables Model 4 Model 5
[PCGDP.sub.it] 4.06 1.32
(3.00) *** (3.20) ***
[ADR.sub.it] .071 .037
(1.55) (2.56) **
[INF.sub.it] .011 .071
(2.44) ** (9.96) ***
[SSEG.sub.it] .011 -.036
(1.51) (-5.17) ***
[EXP.sub.it] .073 -.012
(1.78) * (-0.96)
[OG.sub.it] -- --
[EG.sub.it] -- --
[TOPEN.sub.it] -- --
[ATR.sub.it] -.046 --
(-2.34) **
[ETR.sub.it] -- -.062
(-11.18) ***
Lag Dep .491 .841
(9.52) *** (42.84) ***
No of Obs 204 170
Number of 63 32
Instruments
Shapiro Wilk Test 0.64 0.96
Serial 0.21 0.07
Correlation
Sargan Test 17.60 24.33
P-Value 1.00 0.443
Note: ***, **, * presents level of significance
at 1 percent, 5 percent 10 percent respectively.
The values of t-statistics are in parenthesis. The dependent
variable in models (1), (2), (3), (4) and (5) is income inequality
which measured through Gini coefficients across the countries.
Values presented for Shapiro-Wilk and Serial Correlation tests
are W and P values respectively.
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