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  • 标题:Mean precipitation change from a deepening troposphere
  • 作者:Nadir Jeevanjee ; David M. Romps
  • 期刊名称:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:0027-8424
  • 电子版ISSN:1091-6490
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:115
  • 期号:45
  • 页码:11465-11470
  • DOI:10.1073/pnas.1720683115
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
  • 摘要:Global climate models robustly predict that global mean precipitation should increase at roughly 2–3% K − 1 , but the origin of these values is not well understood. Here we develop a simple theory to help explain these values. This theory combines the well-known radiative constraint on precipitation, which says that condensation heating from precipitation is balanced by the net radiative cooling of the free troposphere, with an invariance of radiative cooling profiles when expressed in temperature coordinates. These two constraints yield a picture in which mean precipitation is controlled primarily by the depth of the troposphere, when measured in temperature coordinates. We develop this theory in idealized simulations of radiative–convective equilibrium and also demonstrate its applicability to global climate models.
  • 关键词:climate change ; atmospheric sciences ; hydrological cycle ; atmospheric radiation
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