文章基本信息

标题：Projection of Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Energy Consumption and Transportation in Malaysia: A Time Series Approach
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作者：Chai Tew Ang ; Norhashimah Morad ; Mohd Tahir Ismail 等
期刊名称：Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy
印刷版ISSN：2225-0573
电子版ISSN：2225-0573
出版年度：2013
卷号：3
期号：1
页码：63-75
语种：English
出版社：Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy
摘要：Climate change is one of the most complex challenges threatening our planet. Since the beginning of the industrial era, mankind has been emitting large amounts of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. This study empirically investigates the carbon dioxide emissions (CO 2 ) of electricity consumption and energy use in Malaysia using time series data for the period of 1970-2008. There are five major sources that contribute to the total CO 2 emissions in Malaysia: gaseous fuel consumption, liquid fuel consumption, solid fuel consumption, electricity heat production and transportation. In this study, a comprehensive modeling tool, consisting of ARIMA models in time series, was utilized to project the total CO 2 emissions from year 2009 to year 2020. It was projected that without any mitigation measures taken by the country, 500 mega tons of CO 2 will be released in 2020, a 43.3% increase compared to the amount of CO 2 emitted in 2005. In addition, this study also reviews the mitigation steps taken in order to reduce CO 2 emissions contributed by electricity generation and transportation. The projection of CO 2 emission and its associated impact is hoped to provide an important message to consumers on the significance of reducing future CO 2 emissions in Malaysia.
关键词：Carbon dioxide emissions; Projection; Time series