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  • 标题:A scoring system to detect fixed airflow limitation in smokers from simple easy-to-use parameters
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Esther Román-Conejos ; Antonio Palazón-Bru ; David Manuel Folgado-de la Rosa
  • 期刊名称:Scientific Reports
  • 电子版ISSN:2045-2322
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:8
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:13329
  • DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-31198-8
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Springer Nature
  • 摘要:No validated screening method currently exists for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) in smokers. Therefore, we constructed a predictive model with simple parameters that can be applied for COPD screening to detect fixed airflow limitation. This observational cross-sectional study included a random sample of 222 smokers with no previous diagnosis of COPD undertaken in a Spanish region in 2014–2016. The main variable was fixed airflow limitation by spirometry. The secondary variables (COPD factors) were: age, gender, smoking (pack-years and Fagerström test), body mass index, educational level, respiratory symptoms and exacerbations. A points system was developed to predict fixed airflow limitation based on secondary variables. The model was validated internally through bootstrapping, determining discrimination and calibration. The system was then integrated into a mobile application for Android. Fifty-seven patients (25.7%) presented fixed airflow limitation. The points system included as predictors: age, pack-years, Fagerström test and presence of respiratory symptoms. Internal validation of the system was very satisfactory, both in discrimination and calibration. In conclusion, a points system has been constructed to predict fixed airflow limitation in smokers with no previous COPD. This system can be integrated as a screening tool, though it should be externally validated in other geographical regions.
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