文章基本信息

标题：Performance comparison of land change modeling techniques for land use projection of arid watersheds
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作者：S.M. Tajbakhsh ; H. Memarian ; K. Moradi 等
期刊名称：Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management
印刷版ISSN：2383-3572
电子版ISSN：2383-3866
出版年度：2018
卷号：4
期号：3
页码：263-280
DOI：10.22034/GJESM.2018.03.002
语种：English
出版社：Iran Solid Waste Association
其他摘要：The change of land use/land cover has been known as an imperative force in environmental alteration, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. This research was mainly aimed to assess the validity of two major types of land change modeling techniques via a three dimensional approach in Birjand urban watershed located in an arid climatic region of Iran. Thus, a Markovian approach based on two suitability and transition potential mappers, i.e. fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and artificial neural network-multi layer perceptron was used to simulate land use map. Validation metrics, quantity disagreement, allocation disagreement and figure of merit in a three-dimensional space were used to perform model validation. Utilizing the fuzzy-analytic hierarchy processsimulation of total landscape in the target point 2015, quantity error, the figure of merit and allocation error were 2%, 18.5% and 8%, respectively. However, Artificial neural network-multi layer perceptron simulation led to a marginal improvement in figure of merit, i.e. 3.25%.
其他关键词：Artificial neural network-multi layer perceptron (ANN-MLP) ; CA-Markov ; Fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process (Fuzzy-AHP) ; Land use change ; simulation