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  • 标题:Cointegration Between Macroeconomic Variables and Sectoral Indices Movement in Bursa Malaysia
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jaafar Pyeman ; Ismail Ahmad
  • 期刊名称:Global Journal Al-Thaqafah
  • 印刷版ISSN:2232-0474
  • 电子版ISSN:2232-0482
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:19
  • 出版社:Kolej Universiti Islam Sultan Azlan Shah
  • 摘要:This paper examines the cointegrationbetween sectoral indices in Bursa Malaysiaand the selected macroeconomic variables,namely, oil price (OP), gold price (GP), andexchange rate (ER), during the period 1995-2014. The underlying series are tested byusing Unit Root Test, Johansen Cointegration,Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) andVector Autoregression (VAR). The resultsindicate that sectoral indices, specifically intechnology sector, have long run cointegrationwith macroeconomic variable as resulted fromthe analysis of Johansen-Juselius (1990),Multivariate Cointegration and Vector ErrorCorrection Model. Meanwhile, the short runcointegration between macroeconomic variableand several sectoral indices have also beenobserved in Bursa Malaysia.
  • 关键词:Vector Error Correction;Model;Vector Autoregression Model;Macroeconomic Variable; Sectoral Indices
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