文章基本信息

标题：Should We Fear the Robot Revolution? (The Correct Answer is Yes)
本地全文：下载
作者：Berg, Andrew ; Buffie, F Edward ; Zanna, Luis-Felipe 等
期刊名称：IMF Policy Discussion Papers
出版年度：2018
期号：May
出版社：International Monetary Fund
摘要：We may be on the cusp of a “second industrial revolution” based on advances in artificial intelligence and robotics. We analyze the implications for inequality and output, using a model with two assumptions: “robot” capital is distinct from traditional capital in its degree of substitutability with human labor; and only capitalists and skilled workers save. We analyze a range of variants that reflect widely different views of how automation may transform the labor market. Our main results are surprisingly robust: automation is good for growth and bad for equality; in the benchmark model real wages fall in the short run and eventually rise, but “eventually” can easily take generations.